Terry McLaurin projections, stats and prop bet odds for Washington Commanders at Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sep 8, 2024
Terry McLaurin Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 4.5 over: -148
- Receptions 4.5 under: 112
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
A throwing game script is implied by the Commanders being a -3.5-point underdog this week.
Right now, the 8th-quickest paced team in football (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Washington Commanders.
Opposing offenses have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game versus the Buccaneers defense last year: 4th-most in the league.
Our trusted projections expect Terry McLaurin to notch 7.4 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 86th percentile among wide receivers.
Terry McLaurin ranks as one of the best wide receivers in the league last year, averaging an outstanding 4.6 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 83rd percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Commanders to pass on 54.5% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
Washington's passing stats last year may be artificially too high (and rushing stats deflated) on account of playing the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL. We should be able to expect some regression with windier conditions in this week's game.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties profile as the 8th-best unit in the NFL last year in defending receivers.
Projection For Today's Terry McLaurin Receptions Prop Bet
Terry McLaurin is projected to have 4.3 Receptions in todays game.
Terry McLaurin Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 60.5 over: -114
- Receiving Yards 60.5 under: -114
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
A throwing game script is implied by the Commanders being a -3.5-point underdog this week.
Right now, the 8th-quickest paced team in football (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Washington Commanders.
Opposing offenses have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game versus the Buccaneers defense last year: 4th-most in the league.
Our trusted projections expect Terry McLaurin to notch 7.4 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 86th percentile among wide receivers.
With an excellent 60.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (81st percentile) last year, Terry McLaurin places among the top wide receivers in the league in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Commanders to pass on 54.5% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
Washington's passing stats last year may be artificially too high (and rushing stats deflated) on account of playing the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL. We should be able to expect some regression with windier conditions in this week's game.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties profile as the 8th-best unit in the NFL last year in defending receivers.
Projection For Today's Terry McLaurin Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Terry McLaurin is projected to have 57 Receiving Yards in todays game.