Sam Darnold NFL Week 4 projections and prop bets for Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers on Sep 29, 2024
Sam Darnold Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Passing Yards 219.5 over: -130
- Passing Yards 219.5 under: 100
Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet
This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Vikings, who are -5-point underdogs.
The leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 60.3% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
With a fantastic 71.5% Adjusted Completion% (89th percentile) since the start of last season, Sam Darnold stands among the most accurate passers in the NFL.
Since the start of last season, the feeble Packers defense has conceded the 4th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing squads: a massive 8.09 yards.
As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Green Bay's unit has been awful since the start of last season, grading out as the 4th-worst in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet
The Minnesota Vikings have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 56.4 plays per game.
The Vikings have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack performance when facing windier weather in this game.
In totaling a paltry 5.4 pass attempts per game since the start of last season, Sam Darnold places among the bottom quarterbacks in the NFL (7th percentile) for this stat.
Sam Darnold grades out as one of the bottom quarterbacks in football since the start of last season, averaging 38.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 7th percentile.
Projection For Sam Darnold Passing Yards Prop Bet
Sam Darnold is projected to have 237.2 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Sam Darnold Player Prop Bet: Completions
Completions Prop Bet Odds:
- Completions 20.5 over: 105
- Completions 20.5 under: -140
Trends Favoring The Over Completions Prop Bet
This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Vikings, who are -5-point underdogs.
The leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 60.3% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
With a fantastic 71.5% Adjusted Completion% (89th percentile) since the start of last season, Sam Darnold stands among the most accurate passers in the NFL.
As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Green Bay's unit has been awful since the start of last season, grading out as the 4th-worst in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Completions Prop Bet
The Minnesota Vikings have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 56.4 plays per game.
The Vikings have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack performance when facing windier weather in this game.
In totaling a paltry 5.4 pass attempts per game since the start of last season, Sam Darnold places among the bottom quarterbacks in the NFL (7th percentile) for this stat.
Projection For Sam Darnold Completions Prop Bet
Sam Darnold is projected to have 21.4 Completions in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Sam Darnold Player Prop Bet: Interceptions
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Interceptions 0.5 over: -137
- Interceptions 0.5 under: 100
Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet
This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Vikings, who are -5-point underdogs.
The leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 60.3% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Green Bay's unit has been awful since the start of last season, grading out as the 4th-worst in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet
The Minnesota Vikings have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 56.4 plays per game.
The Vikings have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack performance when facing windier weather in this game.
In totaling a paltry 5.4 pass attempts per game since the start of last season, Sam Darnold places among the bottom quarterbacks in the NFL (7th percentile) for this stat.
Sam Darnold has thrown a lowly 0.25 interceptions per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 95th percentile among QBs.
Projection For Sam Darnold Interceptions Prop Bet
Sam Darnold is projected to have 0.9 Interceptions in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Sam Darnold Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 3.5 over: 120
- Carries 3.5 under: -155
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
The Vikings have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack performance when facing windier weather in this game.
Our trusted projections expect Sam Darnold to be a more integral piece of his offense's rushing attack this week (12.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (6.8% in games he has played).
As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Green Bay's collection of LBs has been lousy since the start of last season, ranking as the 3rd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Vikings, who are -5-point underdogs.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to run on 39.7% of their downs: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
The Minnesota Vikings have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 56.4 plays per game.
Sam Darnold has averaged just 1.0 rush attempts per game since the start of last season, one of the smallest rates in the league when it comes to quarterbacks (8th percentile).
Projection For Sam Darnold Carries Prop Bet
Sam Darnold is projected to have 3.1 Carries in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Sam Darnold Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: 112
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -146
Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Vikings, who are -5-point underdogs.
The leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 60.3% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings to be the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 55.9% red zone pass rate.
With a fantastic 71.5% Adjusted Completion% (89th percentile) since the start of last season, Sam Darnold stands among the most accurate passers in the NFL.
As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Green Bay's unit has been awful since the start of last season, grading out as the 4th-worst in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
The Minnesota Vikings have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 56.4 plays per game.
The Vikings have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack performance when facing windier weather in this game.
In totaling a paltry 5.4 pass attempts per game since the start of last season, Sam Darnold places among the bottom quarterbacks in the NFL (7th percentile) for this stat.
Sam Darnold has been among the worst touchdown throwers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a paltry 0.77 per game while grading out in the 24th percentile.
Projection For Sam Darnold Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Sam Darnold is projected to have 1.2 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Sam Darnold Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 10.5 over: -113
- Rushing Yards 10.5 under: -115
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The Vikings have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack performance when facing windier weather in this game.
Our trusted projections expect Sam Darnold to be a more integral piece of his offense's rushing attack this week (12.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (6.8% in games he has played).
Since the start of last season, the porous Packers run defense has surrendered a staggering 125.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 9th-worst in the NFL.
As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Green Bay's collection of LBs has been lousy since the start of last season, ranking as the 3rd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Vikings, who are -5-point underdogs.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to run on 39.7% of their downs: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
The Minnesota Vikings have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 56.4 plays per game.
Sam Darnold has averaged just 1.0 rush attempts per game since the start of last season, one of the smallest rates in the league when it comes to quarterbacks (8th percentile).
With a dreadful record of 5.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (12th percentile), Sam Darnold rates as one of the bottom running QBs in the league since the start of last season.
Projection For Sam Darnold Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Sam Darnold is projected to have 13.8 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
Sam Darnold Player Prop Bet: Pass Attempts
Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:
- Pass Attempts 30.5 over: -122
- Pass Attempts 30.5 under: -106
Trends Favoring The Over Pass Attempts Prop Bet
This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Vikings, who are -5-point underdogs.
The leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 60.3% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Trends Favoring The Under Pass Attempts Prop Bet
The Minnesota Vikings have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 56.4 plays per game.
The Vikings have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack performance when facing windier weather in this game.
In totaling a paltry 5.4 pass attempts per game since the start of last season, Sam Darnold places among the bottom quarterbacks in the NFL (7th percentile) for this stat.
Projection For Sam Darnold Pass Attempts Prop Bet
Sam Darnold is projected to have 32.3 Pass Attempts in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
