Patrick Mahomes projections, stats and prop bet odds for Baltimore Ravens at Kansas City Chiefs on Sep 5, 2024
Patrick Mahomes Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Passing Yards 269.5 over: -110
- Passing Yards 269.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet
The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 65.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect Patrick Mahomes to throw 39.6 passes in this contest, on balance: the most out of all QBs.
The Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel last year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in the league (38.3 per game) last year.
The Chiefs O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the league last year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
With an impressive tally of 323.0 adjusted passing yards per game (100th percentile), Patrick Mahomes has been as one of the leading quarterbacks in the NFL last year.
Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet
The Chiefs are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
With respect to a defense's effect on pace, at 28.36 seconds per snap, the leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 6th-most sluggish in the league (adjusted for context) right now.
Last year, the stout Baltimore Ravens defense has yielded a mere 65.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 5th-smallest rate in the league.
Last year, the fierce Ravens defense has surrendered the least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing squads: a feeble 6.3 yards.
As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Baltimore's safety corps has been phenomenal last year, ranking as the best in football.
Projection For Today's Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards Prop Bet
Patrick Mahomes is projected to have 292.1 Passing Yards in todays game.
Patrick Mahomes Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 4.5 over: 100
- Carries 4.5 under: -130
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
The Chiefs are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
Patrick Mahomes isn't afraid to call his own number, comprising 14.4% of his team's rushing play calls last year, putting him in the 85th percentile among quarterbacks.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to run on 34.9% of their chances: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
With respect to a defense's effect on pace, at 28.36 seconds per snap, the leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 6th-most sluggish in the league (adjusted for context) right now.
The Baltimore defensive tackles project as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL last year when it comes to defending the run.
Projection For Today's Patrick Mahomes Carries Prop Bet
Patrick Mahomes is projected to have 3.6 Carries in todays game.
Patrick Mahomes Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: -188
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: 142
Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 65.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the most pass-oriented team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 65.6% red zone pass rate.
Our trusted projections expect Patrick Mahomes to throw 39.6 passes in this contest, on balance: the most out of all QBs.
The Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel last year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in the league (38.3 per game) last year.
Patrick Mahomes checks in as one of the most on-target quarterbacks in the NFL last year with an excellent 67.5% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 87th percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
The Chiefs are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
With respect to a defense's effect on pace, at 28.36 seconds per snap, the leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 6th-most sluggish in the league (adjusted for context) right now.
Last year, the stout Baltimore Ravens defense has yielded a mere 65.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 5th-smallest rate in the league.
Last year, the strong Baltimore Ravens defense has given up a feeble 1.12 TDs through the air per game to opposing teams: the best rate in the league.
As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Baltimore's safety corps has been phenomenal last year, ranking as the best in football.
Projection For Today's Patrick Mahomes Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Patrick Mahomes is projected to have 2 Touchdown Passes in todays game.
Patrick Mahomes Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 19.5 over: -135
- Rushing Yards 19.5 under: 100
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The Chiefs are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
Patrick Mahomes isn't afraid to call his own number, comprising 14.4% of his team's rushing play calls last year, putting him in the 85th percentile among quarterbacks.
With an outstanding rate of 24.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (82nd percentile), Patrick Mahomes ranks as one of the best rushing quarterbacks in football last year.
Patrick Mahomes's running efficiency (7.12 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league last year (100th percentile among QBs).
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to run on 34.9% of their chances: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
With respect to a defense's effect on pace, at 28.36 seconds per snap, the leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 6th-most sluggish in the league (adjusted for context) right now.
The Baltimore defensive tackles project as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL last year when it comes to defending the run.
Projection For Today's Patrick Mahomes Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Patrick Mahomes is projected to have 21.4 Rushing Yards in todays game.
Patrick Mahomes Player Prop Bet: Interceptions
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Interceptions 0.5 over: -120
- Interceptions 0.5 under: -108
Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet
The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 65.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect Patrick Mahomes to throw 39.6 passes in this contest, on balance: the most out of all QBs.
The Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel last year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in the league (38.3 per game) last year.
The Chiefs O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the league last year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
In tallying a massive 0.94 interceptions per game last year, Patrick Mahomes slots in among the weakest quarterbacks in the league (11th percentile).
Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet
The Chiefs are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
With respect to a defense's effect on pace, at 28.36 seconds per snap, the leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 6th-most sluggish in the league (adjusted for context) right now.
Baltimore's defense profiles as the 10th-best in football last year as it relates to making interceptions, notching 0.95 per game.
As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Baltimore's safety corps has been phenomenal last year, ranking as the best in football.
Projection For Today's Patrick Mahomes Interceptions Prop Bet
Patrick Mahomes is projected to have 0.4 Interceptions in todays game.
Patrick Mahomes Player Prop Bet: Pass Attempts
Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:
- Pass Attempts 37.5 over: -106
- Pass Attempts 37.5 under: -122
Trends Favoring The Over Pass Attempts Prop Bet
The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 65.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect Patrick Mahomes to throw 39.6 passes in this contest, on balance: the most out of all QBs.
The Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel last year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in the league (38.3 per game) last year.
Trends Favoring The Under Pass Attempts Prop Bet
The Chiefs are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
With respect to a defense's effect on pace, at 28.36 seconds per snap, the leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 6th-most sluggish in the league (adjusted for context) right now.
Projection For Today's Patrick Mahomes Pass Attempts Prop Bet
Patrick Mahomes is projected to have 38 Pass Attempts in todays game.
Patrick Mahomes Player Prop Bet: Completions
Completions Prop Bet Odds:
- Completions 25.5 over: -120
- Completions 25.5 under: -109
Trends Favoring The Over Completions Prop Bet
The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 65.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect Patrick Mahomes to throw 39.6 passes in this contest, on balance: the most out of all QBs.
The Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel last year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the most passes in the league (38.3 per game) last year.
The Chiefs O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the league last year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
Patrick Mahomes checks in as one of the most on-target quarterbacks in the NFL last year with an excellent 67.5% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 87th percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Completions Prop Bet
The Chiefs are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
With respect to a defense's effect on pace, at 28.36 seconds per snap, the leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 6th-most sluggish in the league (adjusted for context) right now.
Last year, the stout Baltimore Ravens defense has yielded a mere 65.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 5th-smallest rate in the league.
As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Baltimore's safety corps has been phenomenal last year, ranking as the best in football.
Projection For Today's Patrick Mahomes Completions Prop Bet
Patrick Mahomes is projected to have 25 Completions in todays game.
