Pat Freiermuth projections, stats and prop bet odds for Pittsburgh Steelers at Atlanta Falcons on Sep 8, 2024
Pat Freiermuth Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 24.5 over: -117
- Receiving Yards 24.5 under: -112
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are predicted by the predictive model to call 65.9 offensive plays in this game: the 8th-most among all teams this week.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Pat Freiermuth has run a route on 69.7% of his offense's passing plays last year, putting him in the 86th percentile among TEs.
With a stellar 36.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (81st percentile) last year, Pat Freiermuth has been among the leading pass-game TEs in the NFL.
The Falcons defense has allowed the 4th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (55.0) to TEs last year.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The leading projections forecast the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 2nd-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 54.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL last year, averaging a lowly 55.8 plays per game.
The Steelers O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
The Falcons pass defense has been quite strong when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.24 yards-after-the-catch last year: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
Projection For Today's Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Pat Freiermuth is projected to have 31.9 Receiving Yards in todays game.
Pat Freiermuth Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 3.5 over: 118
- Receptions 3.5 under: -155
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are predicted by the predictive model to call 65.9 offensive plays in this game: the 8th-most among all teams this week.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Pat Freiermuth has run a route on 69.7% of his offense's passing plays last year, putting him in the 86th percentile among TEs.
In this contest, Pat Freiermuth is expected by the model to find himself in the 85th percentile when it comes to TEs with 4.5 targets.
With an outstanding 3.4 adjusted catches per game (77th percentile) last year, Pat Freiermuth places as one of the leading pass-catching tight ends in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
The leading projections forecast the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 2nd-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 54.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL last year, averaging a lowly 55.8 plays per game.
The Steelers O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
Last year, the tough Falcons defense has given up a paltry 69.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 7th-smallest rate in the NFL.
Projection For Today's Pat Freiermuth Receptions Prop Bet
Pat Freiermuth is projected to have 2.8 Receptions in todays game.
