Nico Collins projections, stats and prop bet odds for Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts on Sep 8, 2024
Nico Collins Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 69.5 over: 107
- Receiving Yards 69.5 under: -139
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The predictive model expects the Texans to be the 10th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 60.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.2 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The model projects Nico Collins to notch 7.8 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 89th percentile when it comes to WRs.
With a stellar 91.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (96th percentile) last year, Nico Collins places among the best pass-catching WRs in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Opposing QBs teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Indianapolis Colts, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in football (just 31.6 per game) last year.
The Indianapolis Colts defense has conceded the 8th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 130.0) to wide receivers last year.
The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has excelled when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, allowing an average of 3.71 yards-after-the-catch last year: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
Projection For Today's Nico Collins Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Nico Collins is projected to have 73.1 Receiving Yards in todays game.
Nico Collins Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 5.5 over: 115
- Receptions 5.5 under: -145
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The predictive model expects the Texans to be the 10th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 60.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.2 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The model projects Nico Collins to notch 7.8 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 89th percentile when it comes to WRs.
Nico Collins grades out as one of the best wide receivers in the NFL last year, averaging a stellar 5.9 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 92nd percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
Opposing QBs teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Indianapolis Colts, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in football (just 31.6 per game) last year.
The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has conceded the 10th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (63.9%) versus wide receivers last year (63.9%).
Projection For Today's Nico Collins Receptions Prop Bet
Nico Collins is projected to have 5 Receptions in todays game.
