Lamar Jackson projections, stats and prop bet odds for Baltimore Ravens at Kansas City Chiefs on Sep 5, 2024
Lamar Jackson Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Passing Yards 209.5 over: -129
- Passing Yards 209.5 under: -103
Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet
The Ravens are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
The projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to call the 10th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.6 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
As it relates to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Baltimore Ravens grades out as the 5th-best in football last year.
With a stellar 67.4% Adjusted Completion% (84th percentile) last year, Lamar Jackson stands as one of the best precision passers in the NFL.
With a fantastic 7.83 adjusted yards-per-target (94th percentile) last year, Lamar Jackson ranks among the best per-play passers in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet
The model projects the Ravens as the 7th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Chiefs, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.4 per game) last year.
Last year, the tough Chiefs defense has allowed a meager 188.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing teams: the 4th-best in the league.
Last year, the strong Kansas City Chiefs defense has conceded the 3rd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to the opposing side: a puny 6.8 yards.
The Kansas City cornerbacks project as the 3rd-best CB corps in the league last year in defending receivers.
Projection For Today's Lamar Jackson Passing Yards Prop Bet
Lamar Jackson is projected to have 234.2 Passing Yards in todays game.
Lamar Jackson Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 8.5 over: -108
- Carries 8.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Baltimore Ravens to run on 44.9% of their downs: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
The projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to call the 10th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.6 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect Lamar Jackson to accrue 9.1 rush attempts in this week's game, on balance: the most out of all quarterbacks.
Comprising 30.7% of his team's run game usage last year (100th percentile among QBs), Lamar Jackson's mobility makes him a major threat in the run game.
When it comes to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Kansas City's safety corps has been awful last year, ranking as the 10th-worst in the league. in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
The Ravens are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
Projection For Today's Lamar Jackson Carries Prop Bet
Lamar Jackson is projected to have 8.8 Carries in todays game.
Lamar Jackson Player Prop Bet: Completions
Completions Prop Bet Odds:
- Completions 19.5 over: -120
- Completions 19.5 under: -108
Trends Favoring The Over Completions Prop Bet
The Ravens are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
The projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to call the 10th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.6 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
As it relates to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Baltimore Ravens grades out as the 5th-best in football last year.
With a stellar 67.4% Adjusted Completion% (84th percentile) last year, Lamar Jackson stands as one of the best precision passers in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Completions Prop Bet
The model projects the Ravens as the 7th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Chiefs, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.4 per game) last year.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 9th-lowest rate in the NFL versus the Chiefs defense last year (68.5% Adjusted Completion%).
The Kansas City cornerbacks project as the 3rd-best CB corps in the league last year in defending receivers.
Projection For Today's Lamar Jackson Completions Prop Bet
Lamar Jackson is projected to have 20.7 Completions in todays game.
Lamar Jackson Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: 136
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -178
Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
The Ravens are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
The projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to call the 10th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.6 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
As it relates to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Baltimore Ravens grades out as the 5th-best in football last year.
With a stellar 67.4% Adjusted Completion% (84th percentile) last year, Lamar Jackson stands as one of the best precision passers in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
The model projects the Ravens as the 7th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect the Ravens to be the 2nd-least pass-oriented team in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 48.6% red zone pass rate.
Opposing offenses teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Chiefs, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.4 per game) last year.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 9th-lowest rate in the NFL versus the Chiefs defense last year (68.5% Adjusted Completion%).
The Kansas City cornerbacks project as the 3rd-best CB corps in the league last year in defending receivers.
Projection For Today's Lamar Jackson Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Lamar Jackson is projected to have 1.2 Touchdown Passes in todays game.
Lamar Jackson Player Prop Bet: Interceptions
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Interceptions 0.5 over: -120
- Interceptions 0.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet
The Ravens are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
The projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to call the 10th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.6 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
As it relates to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Baltimore Ravens grades out as the 5th-best in football last year.
Kansas City's defense grades out as the 8th-worst in football last year as it relates to making interceptions, notching a mere 0.57 per game.
Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet
The model projects the Ravens as the 7th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Chiefs, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.4 per game) last year.
Lamar Jackson has logged a mere 0.48 interceptions per game last year, grading out in the 82nd percentile when it comes to QBs.
The Kansas City cornerbacks project as the 3rd-best CB corps in the league last year in defending receivers.
Projection For Today's Lamar Jackson Interceptions Prop Bet
Lamar Jackson is projected to have 0.4 Interceptions in todays game.
Lamar Jackson Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 48.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 48.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Baltimore Ravens to run on 44.9% of their downs: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
The projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to call the 10th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.6 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect Lamar Jackson to accrue 9.1 rush attempts in this week's game, on balance: the most out of all quarterbacks.
With a terrific record of 53.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (100th percentile), Lamar Jackson has been among the best rushing QBs in the NFL last year.
The Kansas City Chiefs defense has had the 9th-worst efficiency against opposing run games last year, conceding 4.60 adjusted yards-per-carry.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The Ravens are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
Projection For Today's Lamar Jackson Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Lamar Jackson is projected to have 61.1 Rushing Yards in todays game.
Lamar Jackson Player Prop Bet: Pass Attempts
Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:
- Pass Attempts 31.5 over: -133
- Pass Attempts 31.5 under: -103
Trends Favoring The Over Pass Attempts Prop Bet
The Ravens are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
The projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to call the 10th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.6 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Trends Favoring The Under Pass Attempts Prop Bet
The model projects the Ravens as the 7th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Chiefs, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.4 per game) last year.
Projection For Today's Lamar Jackson Pass Attempts Prop Bet
Lamar Jackson is projected to have 30.7 Pass Attempts in todays game.
