Kyle Pitts projections, stats and prop bet odds for Pittsburgh Steelers at Atlanta Falcons on Sep 8, 2024
Kyle Pitts Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 44.5 over: -108
- Receiving Yards 44.5 under: -121
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The Falcons offense has played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NFL (adjusted for context) last year, averaging 26.79 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
In this week's game, Kyle Pitts is anticipated by the projection model to place in the 97th percentile among tight ends with 7.1 targets.
Kyle Pitts has posted a whopping 61.0 air yards per game last year: 99th percentile among TEs.
Kyle Pitts's 43.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive usage) grades out among the best in the league: 94th percentile for TEs.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.5 pass attempts per game against the Steelers defense last year: 9th-fewest in football.
With a poor 60.1% Adjusted Completion% (4th percentile) last year, Kyle Pitts places as one of the worst possession receivers in the NFL among TEs.
Kyle Pitts has been one of the bottom TEs in football at generating extra yardage, averaging a measly 2.47 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while checking in at the 6th percentile.
When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Pittsburgh's group of LBs has been tremendous last year, grading out as the 9th-best in the league.
Projection For Today's Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Kyle Pitts is projected to have 54.5 Receiving Yards in todays game.
Kyle Pitts Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 3.5 over: -155
- Receptions 3.5 under: 118
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The Falcons offense has played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NFL (adjusted for context) last year, averaging 26.79 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
In this week's game, Kyle Pitts is anticipated by the projection model to place in the 97th percentile among tight ends with 7.1 targets.
Kyle Pitts's 43.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive usage) grades out among the best in the league: 94th percentile for TEs.
When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Atlanta Falcons ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL last year.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.5 pass attempts per game against the Steelers defense last year: 9th-fewest in football.
With a poor 60.1% Adjusted Completion% (4th percentile) last year, Kyle Pitts places as one of the worst possession receivers in the NFL among TEs.
When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Pittsburgh's group of LBs has been tremendous last year, grading out as the 9th-best in the league.
Projection For Today's Kyle Pitts Receptions Prop Bet
Kyle Pitts is projected to have 4.6 Receptions in todays game.