Justin Herbert projections, stats and prop bet odds for Las Vegas Raiders at Los Angeles Chargers on Sep 8, 2024
Justin Herbert Player Prop Bet: Interceptions
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Interceptions 0.5 over: -107
- Interceptions 0.5 under: -122
Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet
The 4th-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers last year (a staggering 60.6 per game on average).
Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) generally prompt increased passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased air attack volume, and reduced rush volume.
Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet
With a 3-point advantage, the Chargers are favored in this game, suggesting more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard game plan.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chargers to pass on 55.4% of their plays: the 10th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by the model to see only 125.8 offensive plays run: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The Las Vegas defensive ends project as the 4th-best collection of DEs in football last year in regard to pass rush.
Projection For Today's Justin Herbert Interceptions Prop Bet
Justin Herbert is projected to have 0.4 Interceptions in todays game.
Justin Herbert Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: 102
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -132
Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
The 4th-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers last year (a staggering 60.6 per game on average).
Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) generally prompt increased passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased air attack volume, and reduced rush volume.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 4th-highest level in the NFL versus the Raiders defense last year (73.4% Adjusted Completion%).
Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
With a 3-point advantage, the Chargers are favored in this game, suggesting more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard game plan.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chargers to pass on 55.4% of their plays: the 10th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 4th-least pass-heavy team in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 49.7% red zone pass rate.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by the model to see only 125.8 offensive plays run: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The Raiders defense has surrendered the 7th-fewest passing touchdowns in the NFL: 1.24 per game last year.
Projection For Today's Justin Herbert Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Justin Herbert is projected to have 1.3 Touchdown Passes in todays game.
Justin Herbert Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 13.5 over: -120
- Rushing Yards 13.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
With a 3-point advantage, the Chargers are favored in this game, suggesting more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard game plan.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Chargers to run on 44.6% of their plays: the 10th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
The 4th-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers last year (a staggering 60.6 per game on average).
Comprising 14.1% of his offense's carries last year (83rd percentile when it comes to quarterbacks), Justin Herbert's mobility makes him a significant threat in the run game.
Justin Herbert's running effectiveness (6.01 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league last year (78th percentile among QBs).
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by the model to see only 125.8 offensive plays run: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week.
Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) generally prompt increased passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased air attack volume, and reduced rush volume.
As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Las Vegas's collection of LBs has been great last year, grading out as the best in football.
Projection For Today's Justin Herbert Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Justin Herbert is projected to have 15.2 Rushing Yards in todays game.
Justin Herbert Player Prop Bet: Completions
Completions Prop Bet Odds:
- Completions 20.5 over: -127
- Completions 20.5 under: -108
Trends Favoring The Over Completions Prop Bet
The 4th-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers last year (a staggering 60.6 per game on average).
Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) generally prompt increased passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased air attack volume, and reduced rush volume.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 4th-highest level in the NFL versus the Raiders defense last year (73.4% Adjusted Completion%).
Trends Favoring The Under Completions Prop Bet
With a 3-point advantage, the Chargers are favored in this game, suggesting more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard game plan.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chargers to pass on 55.4% of their plays: the 10th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by the model to see only 125.8 offensive plays run: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The Las Vegas defensive ends project as the 4th-best collection of DEs in football last year in regard to pass rush.
Projection For Today's Justin Herbert Completions Prop Bet
Justin Herbert is projected to have 21.1 Completions in todays game.
Justin Herbert Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 3.5 over: -130
- Carries 3.5 under: -105
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
With a 3-point advantage, the Chargers are favored in this game, suggesting more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard game plan.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Chargers to run on 44.6% of their plays: the 10th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
The 4th-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers last year (a staggering 60.6 per game on average).
Comprising 14.1% of his offense's carries last year (83rd percentile when it comes to quarterbacks), Justin Herbert's mobility makes him a significant threat in the run game.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by the model to see only 125.8 offensive plays run: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week.
Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) generally prompt increased passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased air attack volume, and reduced rush volume.
As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Las Vegas's collection of LBs has been great last year, grading out as the best in football.
Projection For Today's Justin Herbert Carries Prop Bet
Justin Herbert is projected to have 3.3 Carries in todays game.
Justin Herbert Player Prop Bet: Pass Attempts
Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:
- Pass Attempts 31.5 over: -114
- Pass Attempts 31.5 under: -114
Trends Favoring The Over Pass Attempts Prop Bet
The 4th-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers last year (a staggering 60.6 per game on average).
Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) generally prompt increased passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased air attack volume, and reduced rush volume.
Trends Favoring The Under Pass Attempts Prop Bet
With a 3-point advantage, the Chargers are favored in this game, suggesting more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard game plan.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chargers to pass on 55.4% of their plays: the 10th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by the model to see only 125.8 offensive plays run: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week.
Projection For Today's Justin Herbert Pass Attempts Prop Bet
Justin Herbert is projected to have 30.7 Pass Attempts in todays game.
Justin Herbert Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Passing Yards 222.5 over: -115
- Passing Yards 222.5 under: -119
Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet
The 4th-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers last year (a staggering 60.6 per game on average).
Calm weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) generally prompt increased passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased air attack volume, and reduced rush volume.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 4th-highest level in the NFL versus the Raiders defense last year (73.4% Adjusted Completion%).
The Las Vegas Raiders defense has struggled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 5.56 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year: the 2nd-most in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet
With a 3-point advantage, the Chargers are favored in this game, suggesting more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard game plan.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chargers to pass on 55.4% of their plays: the 10th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by the model to see only 125.8 offensive plays run: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The Las Vegas defensive ends project as the 4th-best collection of DEs in football last year in regard to pass rush.
Projection For Today's Justin Herbert Passing Yards Prop Bet
Justin Herbert is projected to have 240.2 Passing Yards in todays game.
