Josh Jacobs projections, stats and prop bet odds for Green Bay Packers at Philadelphia Eagles on Sep 6, 2024
Josh Jacobs Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 16.5 over: -102
- Carries 16.5 under: -128
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
In this week's contest, Josh Jacobs is forecasted by the projection model to slot into the 93rd percentile when it comes to RBs with 15.7 carries.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
The leading projections forecast the Green Bay Packers as the 7th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 38.5% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect the Packers to call the 9th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The Packers have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league last year, averaging a measly 56.8 plays per game.
The projections expect Josh Jacobs to be a much smaller part of his team's running game in this contest (65.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been last year (81.5% in games he has played).
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Philadelphia's DT corps has been phenomenal last year, grading out as the 4th-best in football.
Projection For Today's Josh Jacobs Carries Prop Bet
Josh Jacobs is projected to have 14.9 Carries in todays game.
Josh Jacobs Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 2.5 over: -120
- Receptions 2.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The leading projections forecast the Packers as the 7th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.8 pass attempts per game versus the Eagles defense last year: 2nd-most in the league.
Our trusted projections expect Josh Jacobs to accrue 3.6 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 89th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Josh Jacobs slots into the 93rd percentile for running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) with a staggering 20.5 figure last year.
Josh Jacobs is positioned as one of the top pass-catching running backs last year, averaging a fantastic 2.8 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 80th percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the Packers to call the 9th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The Packers have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league last year, averaging a measly 56.8 plays per game.
Josh Jacobs rates as one of the worst possession receivers in the NFL among RBs, completing a mere 69.0% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, grading out in the 5th percentile.
When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Philadelphia's unit has been one of the most skilled last year, grading out as the 5th-best in the NFL.
Projection For Today's Josh Jacobs Receptions Prop Bet
Josh Jacobs is projected to have 2.4 Receptions in todays game.
Josh Jacobs Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 63.5 over: -114
- Rushing Yards 63.5 under: -114
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
In this week's contest, Josh Jacobs is forecasted by the projection model to slot into the 93rd percentile when it comes to RBs with 15.7 carries.
Josh Jacobs has generated 62.0 adjusted rushing yards per game last year, one of the highest marks in football when it comes to RBs (90th percentile).
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The leading projections forecast the Green Bay Packers as the 7th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 38.5% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect the Packers to call the 9th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The Packers have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league last year, averaging a measly 56.8 plays per game.
The projections expect Josh Jacobs to be a much smaller part of his team's running game in this contest (65.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been last year (81.5% in games he has played).
Last year, the formidable Philadelphia Eagles run defense has surrendered a paltry 101.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the 8th-best in the NFL.
Projection For Today's Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Josh Jacobs is projected to have 62.4 Rushing Yards in todays game.
Josh Jacobs Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 17.5 over: -113
- Receiving Yards 17.5 under: -113
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The leading projections forecast the Packers as the 7th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.8 pass attempts per game versus the Eagles defense last year: 2nd-most in the league.
Our trusted projections expect Josh Jacobs to accrue 3.6 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 89th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Josh Jacobs has posted a staggering 5.0 air yards per game last year: 97th percentile when it comes to running backs. (This may not sound very overwhelming, but most RBs average negative air yards considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage).
Josh Jacobs slots into the 93rd percentile for running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) with a staggering 20.5 figure last year.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the Packers to call the 9th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The Packers have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league last year, averaging a measly 56.8 plays per game.
Josh Jacobs rates as one of the worst possession receivers in the NFL among RBs, completing a mere 69.0% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, grading out in the 5th percentile.
The Eagles pass defense has shown good efficiency vs. running backs last year, surrendering 5.09 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-fewest in football.
The Eagles pass defense has excelled when opposing RBs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 7.44 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year: the 7th-fewest in the league.
Projection For Today's Josh Jacobs Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Josh Jacobs is projected to have 18.5 Receiving Yards in todays game.
