Jonnu Smith projections, stats and prop bet odds for Jacksonville Jaguars at Miami Dolphins on Sep 8, 2024
Jonnu Smith Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 24.5 over: -109
- Receiving Yards 24.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The projections expect the Dolphins to be the 8th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 61.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Miami's passing stats last year may be artificially decreased (and rushing stats propped up a bit) considering playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We figure to be able to expect some correction with better conditions in this week's contest.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense last year: 10th-most in the league.
This week, Jonnu Smith is predicted by our trusted projection set to land in the 80th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 4.0 targets.
Jonnu Smith profiles as one of the leading pass-catching tight ends last year, averaging an impressive 34.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 75th percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Dolphins are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Dolphins are forecasted by the predictive model to run only 62.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-fewest on the slate this week.
The 6th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Dolphins last year (a lowly 55.3 per game on average).
As it relates to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Miami Dolphins grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL last year.
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has allowed the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (68.5%) vs. tight ends last year (68.5%).
Projection For Today's Jonnu Smith Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Jonnu Smith is projected to have 30.8 Receiving Yards in todays game.
Jonnu Smith Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 2.5 over: -125
- Receptions 2.5 under: -105
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The projections expect the Dolphins to be the 8th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 61.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Miami's passing stats last year may be artificially decreased (and rushing stats propped up a bit) considering playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We figure to be able to expect some correction with better conditions in this week's contest.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense last year: 10th-most in the league.
This week, Jonnu Smith is predicted by our trusted projection set to land in the 80th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 4.0 targets.
Jonnu Smith has been a big part of his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 14.1% last year, which ranks in the 82nd percentile when it comes to tight ends.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Dolphins are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Dolphins are forecasted by the predictive model to run only 62.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-fewest on the slate this week.
The 6th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Dolphins last year (a lowly 55.3 per game on average).
As it relates to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Miami Dolphins grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL last year.
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has allowed the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (68.5%) vs. tight ends last year (68.5%).
Projection For Today's Jonnu Smith Receptions Prop Bet
Jonnu Smith is projected to have 2.7 Receptions in todays game.
