Joe Burrow projections, stats and prop bet odds for New England Patriots at Cincinnati Bengals on Sep 8, 2024
Joe Burrow Player Prop Bet: Interceptions
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Interceptions 0.5 over: -109
- Interceptions 0.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bengals to pass on 62.1% of their downs: the 5th-greatest clip on the slate this week.
The projections expect Joe Burrow to throw 37.1 passes in this game, on average: the 7th-most out of all quarterbacks.
New England's defense ranks as the 10th-worst in football last year as it relates to generating interceptions, averaging a mere 0.63 per game.
When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, New England's group of safeties has been easily exploitable last year, ranking as the 8th-worst in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet
An extreme running game script is implied by the Bengals being a big 9-point favorite in this game.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to see just 124.4 plays on offense run: the fewest among all games this week.
Projection For Today's Joe Burrow Interceptions Prop Bet
Joe Burrow is projected to have 0.5 Interceptions in todays game.
Joe Burrow Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 8.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 8.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
An extreme running game script is implied by the Bengals being a big 9-point favorite in this game.
With an impressive record of 3.13 yards-after-contact (76th percentile), Joe Burrow stands among the leading rushing quarterbacks in the NFL last year.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Bengals to run on 37.9% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to see just 124.4 plays on offense run: the fewest among all games this week.
The New England Patriots defense owns the 2nd-best efficiency against opposing running games last year, giving up just 3.59 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
The Patriots safeties grade out as the best group of safeties in the league last year when it comes to stopping the run.
Projection For Today's Joe Burrow Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Joe Burrow is projected to have 11.1 Rushing Yards in todays game.
Joe Burrow Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Passing Yards 253.5 over: -115
- Passing Yards 253.5 under: -119
Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bengals to pass on 62.1% of their downs: the 5th-greatest clip on the slate this week.
The projections expect Joe Burrow to throw 37.1 passes in this game, on average: the 7th-most out of all quarterbacks.
With an excellent 67.2% Adjusted Completion% (77th percentile) last year, Joe Burrow rates among the most accurate quarterbacks in the NFL.
When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, New England's group of safeties has been easily exploitable last year, ranking as the 8th-worst in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet
An extreme running game script is implied by the Bengals being a big 9-point favorite in this game.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to see just 124.4 plays on offense run: the fewest among all games this week.
With a lackluster 6.59 adjusted yards-per-target (23rd percentile) last year, Joe Burrow ranks as one of the least efficient quarterbacks in the NFL.
Projection For Today's Joe Burrow Passing Yards Prop Bet
Joe Burrow is projected to have 274.8 Passing Yards in todays game.
Joe Burrow Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: -145
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: 115
Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bengals to pass on 62.1% of their downs: the 5th-greatest clip on the slate this week.
The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 62.3% red zone pass rate.
The projections expect Joe Burrow to throw 37.1 passes in this game, on average: the 7th-most out of all quarterbacks.
With an excellent 67.2% Adjusted Completion% (77th percentile) last year, Joe Burrow rates among the most accurate quarterbacks in the NFL.
When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, New England's group of safeties has been easily exploitable last year, ranking as the 8th-worst in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
An extreme running game script is implied by the Bengals being a big 9-point favorite in this game.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to see just 124.4 plays on offense run: the fewest among all games this week.
The Patriots defense has conceded the fewest touchdowns through the air in the NFL: 1.12 per game last year.
Projection For Today's Joe Burrow Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Joe Burrow is projected to have 1.9 Touchdown Passes in todays game.
Joe Burrow Player Prop Bet: Completions
Completions Prop Bet Odds:
- Completions 23.5 over: -105
- Completions 23.5 under: -125
Trends Favoring The Over Completions Prop Bet
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bengals to pass on 62.1% of their downs: the 5th-greatest clip on the slate this week.
The projections expect Joe Burrow to throw 37.1 passes in this game, on average: the 7th-most out of all quarterbacks.
With an excellent 67.2% Adjusted Completion% (77th percentile) last year, Joe Burrow rates among the most accurate quarterbacks in the NFL.
When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, New England's group of safeties has been easily exploitable last year, ranking as the 8th-worst in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Completions Prop Bet
An extreme running game script is implied by the Bengals being a big 9-point favorite in this game.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to see just 124.4 plays on offense run: the fewest among all games this week.
Projection For Today's Joe Burrow Completions Prop Bet
Joe Burrow is projected to have 23.7 Completions in todays game.
Joe Burrow Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 3.5 over: 120
- Carries 3.5 under: -155
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
An extreme running game script is implied by the Bengals being a big 9-point favorite in this game.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Bengals to run on 37.9% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to see just 124.4 plays on offense run: the fewest among all games this week.
The Patriots safeties grade out as the best group of safeties in the league last year when it comes to stopping the run.
Projection For Today's Joe Burrow Carries Prop Bet
Joe Burrow is projected to have 2.9 Carries in todays game.
Joe Burrow Player Prop Bet: Pass Attempts
Pass Attempts Prop Bet Odds:
- Pass Attempts 33.5 over: -133
- Pass Attempts 33.5 under: -103
Trends Favoring The Over Pass Attempts Prop Bet
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bengals to pass on 62.1% of their downs: the 5th-greatest clip on the slate this week.
The projections expect Joe Burrow to throw 37.1 passes in this game, on average: the 7th-most out of all quarterbacks.
Trends Favoring The Under Pass Attempts Prop Bet
An extreme running game script is implied by the Bengals being a big 9-point favorite in this game.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to see just 124.4 plays on offense run: the fewest among all games this week.
Projection For Today's Joe Burrow Pass Attempts Prop Bet
Joe Burrow is projected to have 35.4 Pass Attempts in todays game.
