Jaylen Warren projections, stats and prop bet odds for Pittsburgh Steelers at Atlanta Falcons on Sep 8, 2024
Jaylen Warren Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 14.5 over: -117
- Receiving Yards 14.5 under: -112
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are predicted by the predictive model to call 65.9 offensive plays in this game: the 8th-most among all teams this week.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The model projects Jaylen Warren to notch 4.3 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.
With a fantastic 23.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (89th percentile) last year, Jaylen Warren has been among the top pass-game running backs in the league.
The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has displayed poor efficiency against running backs last year, giving up 6.73 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-most in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The leading projections forecast the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 2nd-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 54.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL last year, averaging a lowly 55.8 plays per game.
Jaylen Warren has posted a meager -7.0 air yards per game last year: just 2nd percentile among RBs.
The Steelers O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL last year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
Projection For Today's Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Jaylen Warren is projected to have 21.9 Receiving Yards in todays game.
Jaylen Warren Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 27.5 over: -117
- Rushing Yards 27.5 under: -112
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Steelers to run on 46.0% of their downs: the 2nd-highest clip on the slate this week.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are predicted by the predictive model to call 65.9 offensive plays in this game: the 8th-most among all teams this week.
With an excellent record of 4.70 adjusted yards per carry (78th percentile), Jaylen Warren places as one of the leading pure rushers in the NFL last year.
With an outstanding record of 3.68 yards after contact (98th percentile), Jaylen Warren has been as one of the best RBs in football last year.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL last year, averaging a lowly 55.8 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Atlanta's collection of DTs has been fantastic last year, projecting as the 3rd-best in the league.
Projection For Today's Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Jaylen Warren is projected to have 41.4 Rushing Yards in todays game.
