James Conner projections, stats and prop bet odds for Arizona Cardinals at Buffalo Bills on Sep 8, 2024
James Conner Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 12.5 over: -114
- Carries 12.5 under: -114
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
The projections expect the Cardinals to be the 3rd-most run-focused offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 43.0% run rate.
The Cardinals have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football last year, which should lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense efficiency when facing windier weather in this week's contest.
Our trusted projections expect James Conner to accumulate 15.1 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 92nd percentile among RBs.
James Conner has been given 58.4% of his team's rush attempts last year, putting him in the 90th percentile when it comes to RBs.
The Buffalo Bills defensive tackles rank as the 2nd-worst group of DTs in football last year in regard to run defense.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Cardinals being an enormous -7-point underdog in this game.
Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Cardinals are predicted by the projections to run only 62.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.
Projection For Today's James Conner Carries Prop Bet
James Conner is projected to have 14.4 Carries in todays game.
James Conner Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 50.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 50.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The projections expect the Cardinals to be the 3rd-most run-focused offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 43.0% run rate.
The Cardinals have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football last year, which should lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense efficiency when facing windier weather in this week's contest.
Our trusted projections expect James Conner to accumulate 15.1 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 92nd percentile among RBs.
James Conner has picked up 79.0 adjusted rushing yards per game last year, one of the largest figures in the league among RBs (98th percentile).
The Buffalo Bills defense has had the 6th-worst efficiency against opposing ground games last year, yielding 4.69 adjusted yards-per-carry.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Cardinals being an enormous -7-point underdog in this game.
Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Cardinals are predicted by the projections to run only 62.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.
Projection For Today's James Conner Rushing Yards Prop Bet
James Conner is projected to have 62.8 Rushing Yards in todays game.
James Conner Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 10.5 over: -123
- Receiving Yards 10.5 under: -111
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Cardinals being an enormous -7-point underdog in this game.
James Conner has been on the field for 62.3% of his team's snaps last year, ranking him in the 90th percentile among running backs.
James Conner is positioned as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL among RBs, completing a remarkable 86.0% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, ranking in the 79th percentile.
The Buffalo Bills defense has been torched for the 6th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (39.0) to RBs last year.
The Buffalo Bills pass defense has displayed weak efficiency against RBs last year, conceding 6.73 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-most in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The model projects the Cardinals to be the 3rd-least pass-focused team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 57.0% pass rate.
Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Cardinals are predicted by the projections to run only 62.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.
The Cardinals have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football last year, which should lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense efficiency when facing windier weather in this week's contest.
Opposing offenses have averaged 32.6 pass attempts per game versus the Bills defense last year: 10th-fewest in football.
When it comes to air yards, James Conner ranks in the measly 17th percentile among running backs last year, averaging just -2.0 per game.
Projection For Today's James Conner Receiving Yards Prop Bet
James Conner is projected to have 12.6 Receiving Yards in todays game.
James Conner Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 1.5 over: -175
- Receptions 1.5 under: 130
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Cardinals being an enormous -7-point underdog in this game.
James Conner has been on the field for 62.3% of his team's snaps last year, ranking him in the 90th percentile among running backs.
James Conner is positioned as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL among RBs, completing a remarkable 86.0% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, ranking in the 79th percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
The model projects the Cardinals to be the 3rd-least pass-focused team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 57.0% pass rate.
Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Cardinals are predicted by the projections to run only 62.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.
The Cardinals have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football last year, which should lead to lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense efficiency when facing windier weather in this week's contest.
Opposing offenses have averaged 32.6 pass attempts per game versus the Bills defense last year: 10th-fewest in football.
When it comes to linebackers pass-rushing, Buffalo's unit has been terrific last year, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.
Projection For Today's James Conner Receptions Prop Bet
James Conner is projected to have 1.8 Receptions in todays game.
