Jake Ferguson projections, stats and prop bet odds for Dallas Cowboys at Cleveland Browns on Sep 8, 2024
Jake Ferguson Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 4.5 over: 104
- Receptions 4.5 under: -136
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The leading projections forecast the Cowboys to be the 8th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.1% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have 134.1 plays on offense run: the most out of all the games this week.
The Dallas Cowboys have run the 5th-most plays in football last year, totaling a colossal 60.4 plays per game.
With a top-tier 75.4% Route Participation Rate (89th percentile) last year, Jake Ferguson has been as one of the tight ends with the highest volume in football.
Jake Ferguson grades out as one of the top TE receiving threats last year, averaging an exceptional 4.8 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 92nd percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
Dallas's passing stats last year may be artificially inflated (and running stats reduced) considering playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football. We figure to be able to expect some correction with windier conditions this week.
Opposing teams teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 31.1 per game) last year.
When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Cleveland's group of LBs has been great last year, profiling as the 5th-best in the league.
Projection For Today's Jake Ferguson Receptions Prop Bet
Jake Ferguson is projected to have 4.3 Receptions in todays game.
Jake Ferguson Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 40.5 over: -125
- Receiving Yards 40.5 under: -105
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The leading projections forecast the Cowboys to be the 8th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.1% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have 134.1 plays on offense run: the most out of all the games this week.
The Dallas Cowboys have run the 5th-most plays in football last year, totaling a colossal 60.4 plays per game.
With a top-tier 75.4% Route Participation Rate (89th percentile) last year, Jake Ferguson has been as one of the tight ends with the highest volume in football.
With an exceptional 52.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (92nd percentile) last year, Jake Ferguson rates as one of the top TE receiving threats in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Dallas's passing stats last year may be artificially inflated (and running stats reduced) considering playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football. We figure to be able to expect some correction with windier conditions this week.
Opposing teams teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 31.1 per game) last year.
The Browns defense has conceded the fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 33.0) vs. TEs last year.
Last year, the imposing Browns defense has conceded the 7th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing TEs: a meager 6.9 yards.
When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Cleveland's group of LBs has been great last year, profiling as the 5th-best in the league.
Projection For Today's Jake Ferguson Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Jake Ferguson is projected to have 43.5 Receiving Yards in todays game.
