Jahmyr Gibbs NFL Week 4 projections and prop bets for Seattle Seahawks at Detroit Lions on Sep 30, 2024
Jahmyr Gibbs Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 20.5 over: -120
- Receiving Yards 20.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to have 133.2 plays on offense called: the most among all games this week.
The 2nd-most plays in the league have been called by the Lions since the start of last season (a staggering 61.2 per game on average).
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Jahmyr Gibbs has run a route on 57.8% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, putting him in the 94th percentile among running backs.
In this game, Jahmyr Gibbs is predicted by the projections to land in the 94th percentile among RBs with 4.6 targets.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
This game's line indicates a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 6 points.
Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to be the 9th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.6% pass rate.
Jahmyr Gibbs is positioned as one of the worst running backs in football at generating extra yardage in the passing game, averaging a measly 7.02 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 23rd percentile.
The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has surrendered the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (79%) vs. RBs since the start of last season (79.0%).
The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has been quite strong when opposing running backs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 3.94 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the fewest in football.
Projection For Jahmyr Gibbs Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Jahmyr Gibbs is projected to have 23.7 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
Jahmyr Gibbs Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 51.5 over: -117
- Rushing Yards 51.5 under: -112
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
This game's line indicates a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 6 points.
At the moment, the 9th-most run-centric team in football (41.4% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Detroit Lions.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to have 133.2 plays on offense called: the most among all games this week.
With an exceptional tally of 66.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (92nd percentile), Jahmyr Gibbs rates among the best pure runners in the league since the start of last season.
The opposing side have run for the 4th-most adjusted yards in the league (137 per game) vs. the Seahawks defense since the start of last season.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Seattle's DE corps has been tremendous since the start of last season, grading out as the 4th-best in the league.
Projection For Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Jahmyr Gibbs is projected to have 48.5 Rushing Yards in this weeks game.
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