Geno Smith NFL Week 4 projections and prop bets for Seattle Seahawks at Detroit Lions on Sep 30, 2024
Geno Smith Player Prop Bet: Touchdown Passes
Touchdown Passes Prop Bet Odds:
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 over: 110
- Touchdown Passes 1.5 under: -140
Trends Favoring The Over Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
At a -6-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on passing than their typical game plan.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 64.3% of their chances: the greatest frequency among all teams this week.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see 133.2 offensive plays called: the most on the slate this week.
The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
The projections expect Geno Smith to throw 37.8 passes this week, on balance: the most out of all QBs.
Trends Favoring The Under Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
With a 33.3% rate of throwing the ball near the goal line (adjusted for context) this year, the 2nd-least pass-oriented team in football under these circumstances has been the Seattle Seahawks.
The 2nd-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Seahawks since the start of last season (a measly 54.8 per game on average).
The Seattle O-line grades out as the 8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
Since the start of last season, the imposing Detroit Lions defense has yielded a paltry 66.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 6th-best rate in football.
Projection For Geno Smith Touchdown Passes Prop Bet
Geno Smith is projected to have 1.4 Touchdown Passes in this weeks game.
Geno Smith Player Prop Bet: Interceptions
Interceptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Interceptions 0.5 over: -121
- Interceptions 0.5 under: -107
Trends Favoring The Over Interceptions Prop Bet
At a -6-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on passing than their typical game plan.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 64.3% of their chances: the greatest frequency among all teams this week.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see 133.2 offensive plays called: the most on the slate this week.
The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
The projections expect Geno Smith to throw 37.8 passes this week, on balance: the most out of all QBs.
Trends Favoring The Under Interceptions Prop Bet
The 2nd-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Seahawks since the start of last season (a measly 54.8 per game on average).
The Seattle O-line grades out as the 8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
Detroit's defense profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL since the start of last season as it relates to making interceptions, accumulating 0.94 per game.
Projection For Geno Smith Interceptions Prop Bet
Geno Smith is projected to have 1 Interceptions in this weeks game.
Geno Smith Player Prop Bet: Passing Yards
Passing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Passing Yards 245.5 over: -110
- Passing Yards 245.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Passing Yards Prop Bet
At a -6-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on passing than their typical game plan.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 64.3% of their chances: the greatest frequency among all teams this week.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see 133.2 offensive plays called: the most on the slate this week.
The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may slide.
Opposing QBs have passed for the 7th-most adjusted yards in the league (236.0 per game) vs. the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season.
Trends Favoring The Under Passing Yards Prop Bet
The 2nd-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Seahawks since the start of last season (a measly 54.8 per game on average).
The Seattle O-line grades out as the 8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
Since the start of last season, the imposing Detroit Lions defense has yielded a paltry 66.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 6th-best rate in football.
Projection For Geno Smith Passing Yards Prop Bet
Geno Smith is projected to have 264.1 Passing Yards in this weeks game.
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