Garrett Wilson projections, stats and prop bet odds for New York Jets at San Francisco 49ers on Sep 9, 2024
Garrett Wilson Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 5.5 over: -150
- Receptions 5.5 under: 115
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
A throwing game script is suggested by the Jets being a -5.5-point underdog in this game.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Jets to pass on 63.4% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest clip among all teams this week.
New York's passing stats last year may be artificially decreased (and running stats increased) as a result of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We should be able to count on some regression with more favorable weather in this week's game.
The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a notorious pass funnel last year, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (36.2 per game) last year.
Garrett Wilson has run a route on 98.0% of his offense's passing plays last year, putting him in the 99th percentile among WRs.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the Jets to run the 2nd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.3 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Jets grades out as the 2nd-worst in football last year.
Garrett Wilson checks in as one of the worst possession receivers in football, completing just 58.8% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, ranking in the 20th percentile among wideouts
The San Francisco 49ers linebackers project as the 2nd-best LB corps in football last year in covering pass-catchers.
Projection For Today's Garrett Wilson Receptions Prop Bet
Garrett Wilson is projected to have 6 Receptions in todays game.
Garrett Wilson Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 67.5 over: -131
- Receiving Yards 67.5 under: -104
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
A throwing game script is suggested by the Jets being a -5.5-point underdog in this game.
Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Jets to pass on 63.4% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest clip among all teams this week.
New York's passing stats last year may be artificially decreased (and running stats increased) as a result of playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We should be able to count on some regression with more favorable weather in this week's game.
The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a notorious pass funnel last year, causing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (36.2 per game) last year.
Garrett Wilson has run a route on 98.0% of his offense's passing plays last year, putting him in the 99th percentile among WRs.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the Jets to run the 2nd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.3 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Jets grades out as the 2nd-worst in football last year.
Garrett Wilson checks in as one of the worst possession receivers in football, completing just 58.8% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, ranking in the 20th percentile among wideouts
With a poor 6.6 adjusted yards per target (7th percentile) last year, Garrett Wilson stands among the worst pass-catching wide receivers in the league.
The 49ers pass defense has displayed strong efficiency against wide receivers last year, giving up 7.47 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-fewest in the league.
Projection For Today's Garrett Wilson Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Garrett Wilson is projected to have 68.4 Receiving Yards in todays game.
