Gabriel Davis projections, stats and prop bet odds for Jacksonville Jaguars at Buffalo Bills on Sep 23, 2024
Gabriel Davis Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 38.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 38.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The Jaguars are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jaguars to pass on 59.8% of their downs: the 9th-highest frequency among all teams this week.
The Jaguars have run the 10th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 58.9 plays per game.
Gabriel Davis has run a route on 89.7% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 84th percentile when it comes to WRs.
Gabriel Davis rates as one of the most efficient receivers in the NFL, averaging a terrific 10.36 adjusted yards-per-target since the start of last season while checking in at the 96th percentile when it comes to WRs.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The predictive model expects the Jaguars to call the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.2 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The Bills defense has surrendered the 5th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 120.0) to WRs since the start of last season.
The Buffalo Bills pass defense has been quite strong when opposing WRs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.29 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the fewest in the league.
Projection For Today's Gabriel Davis Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Gabriel Davis is projected to have 55.2 Receiving Yards in todays game.
Gabriel Davis Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 2.5 over: -160
- Receptions 2.5 under: 125
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The Jaguars are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jaguars to pass on 59.8% of their downs: the 9th-highest frequency among all teams this week.
The Jaguars have run the 10th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 58.9 plays per game.
Gabriel Davis has run a route on 89.7% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, putting him in the 84th percentile when it comes to WRs.
Since the start of last season, the feeble Bills pass defense has allowed a whopping 68.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 7th-highest rate in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
The predictive model expects the Jaguars to call the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.2 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Projection For Today's Gabriel Davis Receptions Prop Bet
Gabriel Davis is projected to have 3.7 Receptions in todays game.
