Ezekiel Elliott projections, stats and prop bet odds for Dallas Cowboys at Cleveland Browns on Sep 8, 2024
Ezekiel Elliott Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 9.5 over: -110
- Carries 9.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have 134.1 plays on offense run: the most out of all the games this week.
The Dallas Cowboys have run the 5th-most plays in football last year, totaling a colossal 60.4 plays per game.
Dallas's passing stats last year may be artificially inflated (and running stats reduced) considering playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football. We figure to be able to expect some correction with windier conditions this week.
Ezekiel Elliott has earned 45.0% of his team's carries last year, placing him in the 79th percentile when it comes to RBs.
As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Cleveland's group of LBs has been atrocious last year, profiling as the 9th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cowboys to run on 38.9% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Projection For Today's Ezekiel Elliott Carries Prop Bet
Ezekiel Elliott is projected to have 10.4 Carries in todays game.
Ezekiel Elliott Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 32.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 32.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have 134.1 plays on offense run: the most out of all the games this week.
The Dallas Cowboys have run the 5th-most plays in football last year, totaling a colossal 60.4 plays per game.
Dallas's passing stats last year may be artificially inflated (and running stats reduced) considering playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football. We figure to be able to expect some correction with windier conditions this week.
Ezekiel Elliott has earned 45.0% of his team's carries last year, placing him in the 79th percentile when it comes to RBs.
As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Cleveland's group of LBs has been atrocious last year, profiling as the 9th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cowboys to run on 38.9% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Ezekiel Elliott's running effectiveness (3.25 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football last year (10th percentile when it comes to running backs).
Ezekiel Elliott is positioned as one of the worst RBs in the league at generating extra ground yardage, averaging a mere 2.54 yards-after-contact last year while ranking in the 17th percentile.
The opposing side have rushed for the 10th-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 102.0 per game) vs. the Browns defense last year.
Projection For Today's Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Ezekiel Elliott is projected to have 41.6 Rushing Yards in todays game.
Ezekiel Elliott Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 8.5 over: -115
- Receiving Yards 8.5 under: -115
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The leading projections forecast the Cowboys to be the 8th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.1% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have 134.1 plays on offense run: the most out of all the games this week.
The Dallas Cowboys have run the 5th-most plays in football last year, totaling a colossal 60.4 plays per game.
The predictive model expects Ezekiel Elliott to accrue 2.8 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 77th percentile among running backs.
Ezekiel Elliott ranks as one of the leading pass-game RBs last year, averaging an outstanding 18.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 77th percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Dallas's passing stats last year may be artificially inflated (and running stats reduced) considering playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football. We figure to be able to expect some correction with windier conditions this week.
Opposing teams teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 31.1 per game) last year.
Ezekiel Elliott has accrued a feeble -2.0 air yards per game last year: a lowly 17th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Last year, the fierce Browns defense has surrendered the 4th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing RBs: a puny 5.0 yards.
The Cleveland Browns pass defense has been quite strong when opposing RBs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 7.24 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year: the 2nd-fewest in the league.
Projection For Today's Ezekiel Elliott Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Ezekiel Elliott is projected to have 13.9 Receiving Yards in todays game.
Ezekiel Elliott Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 1.5 over: -135
- Receptions 1.5 under: 105
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The leading projections forecast the Cowboys to be the 8th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.1% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have 134.1 plays on offense run: the most out of all the games this week.
The Dallas Cowboys have run the 5th-most plays in football last year, totaling a colossal 60.4 plays per game.
The predictive model expects Ezekiel Elliott to accrue 2.8 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 77th percentile among running backs.
Ezekiel Elliott rates as one of the top pass-catching running backs last year, averaging an excellent 3.0 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 86th percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
Dallas's passing stats last year may be artificially inflated (and running stats reduced) considering playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football. We figure to be able to expect some correction with windier conditions this week.
Opposing teams teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 31.1 per game) last year.
The Cleveland Browns pass defense has yielded the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (77.3%) to RBs last year (77.3%).
When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Cleveland's group of LBs has been great last year, profiling as the 5th-best in the league.
Projection For Today's Ezekiel Elliott Receptions Prop Bet
Ezekiel Elliott is projected to have 2.1 Receptions in todays game.
