DK Metcalf NFL Week 4 projections and prop bets for Seattle Seahawks at Detroit Lions on Sep 30, 2024
DK Metcalf Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 62.5 over: -113
- Receiving Yards 62.5 under: -115
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
At a -6-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on passing than their typical game plan.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 64.3% of their chances: the greatest frequency among all teams this week.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see 133.2 offensive plays called: the most on the slate this week.
D.K. Metcalf comes in as one of the top wide receivers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging an excellent 58.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 88th percentile.
Since the start of last season, the poor Detroit Lions defense has conceded a whopping 169.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing WRs: the 4th-worst in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The 2nd-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Seahawks since the start of last season (a measly 54.8 per game on average).
The Seattle O-line grades out as the 8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
Projection For DK Metcalf Receiving Yards Prop Bet
DK Metcalf is projected to have 69.1 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
