Devon Achane projections, stats and prop bet odds for Jacksonville Jaguars at Miami Dolphins on Sep 8, 2024
Devon Achane Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 2.5 over: -184
- Receptions 2.5 under: 140
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The projections expect the Dolphins to be the 8th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 61.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Miami's passing stats last year may be artificially decreased (and rushing stats propped up a bit) considering playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We figure to be able to expect some correction with better conditions in this week's contest.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense last year: 10th-most in the league.
In this week's contest, Devon Achane is forecasted by our trusted projection set to place in the 94th percentile among RBs with 4.4 targets.
Devon Achane has been heavily involved in his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 11.7% last year, which puts him in the 87th percentile among RBs.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Dolphins are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Dolphins are forecasted by the predictive model to run only 62.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-fewest on the slate this week.
The 6th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Dolphins last year (a lowly 55.3 per game on average).
As it relates to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Miami Dolphins grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL last year.
With a subpar 72.0% Adjusted Completion% (14th percentile) last year, Devon Achane rates among the worst possession receivers in the NFL when it comes to running backs.
Projection For Today's Devon Achane Receptions Prop Bet
Devon Achane is projected to have 3.4 Receptions in todays game.
Devon Achane Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 19.5 over: -137
- Receiving Yards 19.5 under: 105
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The projections expect the Dolphins to be the 8th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 61.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Miami's passing stats last year may be artificially decreased (and rushing stats propped up a bit) considering playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We figure to be able to expect some correction with better conditions in this week's contest.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense last year: 10th-most in the league.
In this week's contest, Devon Achane is forecasted by our trusted projection set to place in the 94th percentile among RBs with 4.4 targets.
Devon Achane has been heavily involved in his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 11.7% last year, which puts him in the 87th percentile among RBs.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Dolphins are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Dolphins are forecasted by the predictive model to run only 62.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-fewest on the slate this week.
The 6th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Dolphins last year (a lowly 55.3 per game on average).
As it relates to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Miami Dolphins grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL last year.
With a subpar 72.0% Adjusted Completion% (14th percentile) last year, Devon Achane rates among the worst possession receivers in the NFL when it comes to running backs.
Projection For Today's Devon Achane Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Devon Achane is projected to have 24.8 Receiving Yards in todays game.
Devon Achane Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 12.5 over: -102
- Carries 12.5 under: -128
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Dolphins are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 8th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 38.9% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Dolphins are forecasted by the predictive model to run only 62.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-fewest on the slate this week.
The 6th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Dolphins last year (a lowly 55.3 per game on average).
Miami's passing stats last year may be artificially decreased (and rushing stats propped up a bit) considering playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We figure to be able to expect some correction with better conditions in this week's contest.
Projection For Today's Devon Achane Carries Prop Bet
Devon Achane is projected to have 8.4 Carries in todays game.
Devon Achane Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 54.5 over: -125
- Rushing Yards 54.5 under: -105
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Dolphins are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.
With a stellar total of 68.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (94th percentile), Devon Achane has been as one of the top pure runners in the league last year.
With an excellent total of 7.27 adjusted yards per carry (98th percentile), Devon Achane ranks as one of the leading pure runners in the league last year.
Devon Achane grades out as one of the best running backs in the league at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging an impressive 4.94 yards-after-contact last year while checking in at the 98th percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 8th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 38.9% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Dolphins are forecasted by the predictive model to run only 62.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-fewest on the slate this week.
The 6th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Dolphins last year (a lowly 55.3 per game on average).
Miami's passing stats last year may be artificially decreased (and rushing stats propped up a bit) considering playing the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football. We figure to be able to expect some correction with better conditions in this week's contest.
Projection For Today's Devon Achane Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Devon Achane is projected to have 46.7 Rushing Yards in todays game.
