D.J. Moore projections, stats and prop bet odds for Tennessee Titans at Chicago Bears on Sep 8, 2024
D.J. Moore Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 5.5 over: 114
- Receptions 5.5 under: -148
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Chicago Bears are predicted by our trusted projection set to run 67.5 plays on offense in this game: the highest number among all teams this week.
The projections expect D.J. Moore to total 7.6 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 88th percentile among WRs.
D.J. Moore has been one of the top pass-catching wide receivers last year, averaging an impressive 5.7 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 92nd percentile.
D.J. Moore comes in as one of the best possession receivers in the NFL, completing an excellent 73.2% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, ranking in the 90th percentile among wide receivers.
The Titans pass defense has given up the highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (71.7%) vs. wideouts last year (71.7%).
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the Bears, who are favored by 4.5 points.
The predictive model expects the Bears as the 7th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast D.J. Moore to be a much smaller piece of his offense's air attack this week (23.2% projected Target Share) than he has been last year (30.1% in games he has played).
The Chicago Bears offensive line ranks as the 9th-worst in football last year in pass protection, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.
Projection For Today's D.J. Moore Receptions Prop Bet
D.J. Moore is projected to have 4.8 Receptions in todays game.
D.J. Moore Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 59.5 over: -130
- Receiving Yards 59.5 under: 100
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Chicago Bears are predicted by our trusted projection set to run 67.5 plays on offense in this game: the highest number among all teams this week.
The projections expect D.J. Moore to total 7.6 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 88th percentile among WRs.
When talking about air yards, D.J. Moore ranks in the towering 91st percentile among wide receivers last year, averaging a monstrous 95.0 per game.
D.J. Moore profiles as one of the best wide receivers in the league last year, averaging a stellar 77.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 93rd percentile.
The Titans pass defense has given up the highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (71.7%) vs. wideouts last year (71.7%).
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the Bears, who are favored by 4.5 points.
The predictive model expects the Bears as the 7th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast D.J. Moore to be a much smaller piece of his offense's air attack this week (23.2% projected Target Share) than he has been last year (30.1% in games he has played).
The Chicago Bears offensive line ranks as the 9th-worst in football last year in pass protection, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.
Last year, the strong Titans pass defense has given up the 5th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing WRs: a feeble 4.0 YAC.
Projection For Today's D.J. Moore Receiving Yards Prop Bet
D.J. Moore is projected to have 59.2 Receiving Yards in todays game.
