Curtis Samuel projections, stats and prop bet odds for Arizona Cardinals at Buffalo Bills on Sep 8, 2024
Curtis Samuel Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 3.5 over: 128
- Receptions 3.5 under: -167
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
When talking about pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Bills profiles as the 8th-best in the league last year.
Curtis Samuel ranks as one of the best possession receivers in football, catching an exceptional 72.8% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, ranking in the 88th percentile among WRs.
Last year, the weak Cardinals pass defense has allowed a colossal 68.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 7th-worst rate in the NFL.
As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Arizona's group of CBs has been easily exploitable last year, profiling as the worst in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Bills being a heavy 7-point favorite in this game.
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Buffalo Bills to pass on 52.6% of their downs: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to see just 125.8 total plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Cardinals, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 29.8 per game) last year.
Projection For Today's Curtis Samuel Receptions Prop Bet
Curtis Samuel is projected to have 3.5 Receptions in todays game.
Curtis Samuel Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 27.5 over: -117
- Receiving Yards 27.5 under: -117
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
When talking about pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Bills profiles as the 8th-best in the league last year.
Curtis Samuel ranks as one of the best possession receivers in football, catching an exceptional 72.8% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, ranking in the 88th percentile among WRs.
Last year, the weak Cardinals pass defense has allowed a colossal 68.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 7th-worst rate in the NFL.
As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Arizona's group of CBs has been easily exploitable last year, profiling as the worst in football.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Bills being a heavy 7-point favorite in this game.
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Buffalo Bills to pass on 52.6% of their downs: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to see just 125.8 total plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Cardinals, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 29.8 per game) last year.
The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has excelled when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, yielding an average of 3.75 yards-after-the-catch last year: the 3rd-fewest in the league.
Projection For Today's Curtis Samuel Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Curtis Samuel is projected to have 39.9 Receiving Yards in todays game.
