Cole Kmet projections, stats and prop bet odds for Tennessee Titans at Chicago Bears on Sep 8, 2024
Cole Kmet Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 22.5 over: -121
- Receiving Yards 22.5 under: -113
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Chicago Bears are predicted by our trusted projection set to run 67.5 plays on offense in this game: the highest number among all teams this week.
Cole Kmet has posted a monstrous 34.0 air yards per game last year: 85th percentile when it comes to TEs.
Cole Kmet grades out as one of the top TEs in the pass game last year, averaging a terrific 48.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 90th percentile.
Cole Kmet checks in as one of the most reliable receivers in the league among tight ends, catching a fantastic 83.1% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, grading out in the 88th percentile.
Cole Kmet ranks as one of the most effective receivers in football among tight ends, averaging an excellent 8.24 adjusted yards-per-target last year while checking in at the 81st percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the Bears, who are favored by 4.5 points.
The predictive model expects the Bears as the 7th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
While Cole Kmet has been responsible for 20.6% of his offense's targets in games he has played last year, our trusted projections expect him to be much less involved in Chicago's passing offense this week at 10.0%.
The Chicago Bears offensive line ranks as the 9th-worst in football last year in pass protection, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.
Last year, the formidable Tennessee Titans defense has surrendered a feeble 39.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing tight ends: the 3rd-fewest in football.
Projection For Today's Cole Kmet Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Cole Kmet is projected to have 24.4 Receiving Yards in todays game.
Cole Kmet Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 2.5 over: -110
- Receptions 2.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Chicago Bears are predicted by our trusted projection set to run 67.5 plays on offense in this game: the highest number among all teams this week.
Cole Kmet rates as one of the best TE receiving threats last year, averaging a terrific 4.9 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 93rd percentile.
Cole Kmet checks in as one of the most reliable receivers in the league among tight ends, catching a fantastic 83.1% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, grading out in the 88th percentile.
The Titans pass defense has been gouged for the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (77.9%) to tight ends last year (77.9%).
The Tennessee Titans safeties project as the 4th-worst unit in the league last year in pass coverage.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the Bears, who are favored by 4.5 points.
The predictive model expects the Bears as the 7th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
While Cole Kmet has been responsible for 20.6% of his offense's targets in games he has played last year, our trusted projections expect him to be much less involved in Chicago's passing offense this week at 10.0%.
The Chicago Bears offensive line ranks as the 9th-worst in football last year in pass protection, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.
Projection For Today's Cole Kmet Receptions Prop Bet
Cole Kmet is projected to have 2.3 Receptions in todays game.
