Chigoziem Okonkwo NFL Week 4 projections and prop bets for Tennessee Titans at Miami Dolphins on Sep 30, 2024
Chigoziem Okonkwo Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 17.5 over: -120
- Receiving Yards 17.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
This game's line indicates a passing game script for the Titans, who are -6.5-point underdogs.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Titans to pass on 62.4% of their chances: the 3rd-highest rate on the slate this week.
Chigoziem Okonkwo has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 15.0% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 84th percentile among tight ends.
When it comes to air yards, Chigoziem Okonkwo ranks in the towering 82nd percentile among TEs since the start of last season, totaling an impressive 29.0 per game.
Since the start of last season, the shaky Dolphins pass defense has surrendered a staggering 76.2% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the 8th-biggest rate in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are anticipated by the predictive model to run only 61.7 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Titans since the start of last season (just 54.3 per game on average).
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to test the pass defense of the Dolphins, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (just 32.0 per game) since the start of last season.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line ranks as the 8th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing attack statistics across the board.
Since the start of last season, the fierce Dolphins defense has surrendered the 10th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing tight ends: a puny 7.0 yards.
Projection For Chigoziem Okonkwo Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Chigoziem Okonkwo is projected to have 21.4 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
For more player prop bets & game projections visit the ATS.io NFL props section
