Brian Robinson projections, stats and prop bet odds for Washington Commanders at Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sep 8, 2024
Brian Robinson Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 10.5 over: -130
- Carries 10.5 under: 100
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
The model projects the Washington Commanders as the 5th-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 45.5% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Right now, the 8th-quickest paced team in football (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Washington Commanders.
Washington's passing stats last year may be artificially too high (and rushing stats deflated) on account of playing the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL. We should be able to expect some regression with windier conditions in this week's game.
The leading projections forecast Brian Robinson to garner 12.5 rush attempts in this game, on balance, putting him in the 78th percentile when it comes to running backs.
When it comes to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Tampa Bay's unit has been terrible last year, grading out as the worst in the league. in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
A throwing game script is implied by the Commanders being a -3.5-point underdog this week.
While Brian Robinson has garnered 60.5% of his team's rush attempts in games he has played last year, the model projects him to be a less important option in Washington's run game in this contest at 42.1%.
Projection For Today's Brian Robinson Carries Prop Bet
Brian Robinson is projected to have 12.3 Carries in todays game.
Brian Robinson Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 41.5 over: -115
- Rushing Yards 41.5 under: -119
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The model projects the Washington Commanders as the 5th-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 45.5% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Right now, the 8th-quickest paced team in football (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Washington Commanders.
Washington's passing stats last year may be artificially too high (and rushing stats deflated) on account of playing the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL. We should be able to expect some regression with windier conditions in this week's game.
The leading projections forecast Brian Robinson to garner 12.5 rush attempts in this game, on balance, putting him in the 78th percentile when it comes to running backs.
When it comes to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Tampa Bay's unit has been terrible last year, grading out as the worst in the league. in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
A throwing game script is implied by the Commanders being a -3.5-point underdog this week.
While Brian Robinson has garnered 60.5% of his team's rush attempts in games he has played last year, the model projects him to be a less important option in Washington's run game in this contest at 42.1%.
The opposing side have run for the 6th-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 98.0 per game) versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense last year.
Projection For Today's Brian Robinson Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Brian Robinson is projected to have 52.1 Rushing Yards in todays game.
Brian Robinson Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 9.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 9.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
A throwing game script is implied by the Commanders being a -3.5-point underdog this week.
Right now, the 8th-quickest paced team in football (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Washington Commanders.
Opposing offenses have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game versus the Buccaneers defense last year: 4th-most in the league.
With a remarkable 24.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (90th percentile) last year, Brian Robinson stands as one of the leading RB receiving threats in the NFL.
With a stellar 90.4% Adjusted Catch Rate (95th percentile) last year, Brian Robinson places among the best possession receivers in the NFL among running backs.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Commanders to pass on 54.5% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
Washington's passing stats last year may be artificially too high (and rushing stats deflated) on account of playing the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL. We should be able to expect some regression with windier conditions in this week's game.
When it comes to air yards, Brian Robinson ranks in the paltry 11th percentile among RBs last year, with just -3.0 per game.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency vs. RBs last year, conceding 5.17 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-fewest in football.
The Buccaneers pass defense has excelled when opposing running backs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 7.34 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year: the 5th-fewest in football.
Projection For Today's Brian Robinson Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Brian Robinson is projected to have 13.3 Receiving Yards in todays game.
Brian Robinson Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 1.5 over: -129
- Receptions 1.5 under: -103
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
A throwing game script is implied by the Commanders being a -3.5-point underdog this week.
Right now, the 8th-quickest paced team in football (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Washington Commanders.
Opposing offenses have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game versus the Buccaneers defense last year: 4th-most in the league.
With a remarkable 2.4 adjusted catches per game (75th percentile) last year, Brian Robinson places as one of the leading pass-game running backs in football.
With a stellar 90.4% Adjusted Catch Rate (95th percentile) last year, Brian Robinson places among the best possession receivers in the NFL among running backs.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Commanders to pass on 54.5% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
Washington's passing stats last year may be artificially too high (and rushing stats deflated) on account of playing the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL. We should be able to expect some regression with windier conditions in this week's game.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties profile as the 8th-best unit in the NFL last year in defending receivers.
Projection For Today's Brian Robinson Receptions Prop Bet
Brian Robinson is projected to have 1.7 Receptions in todays game.
