Bijan Robinson projections, stats and prop bet odds for Pittsburgh Steelers at Atlanta Falcons on Sep 8, 2024
Bijan Robinson Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 3.5 over: -140
- Receptions 3.5 under: 105
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
The Falcons offense has played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NFL (adjusted for context) last year, averaging 26.79 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Bijan Robinson has run a route on 69.7% of his offense's dropbacks last year, placing him in the 99th percentile among running backs.
The model projects Bijan Robinson to garner 6.2 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to RBs.
When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Atlanta Falcons ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL last year.
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.5 pass attempts per game against the Steelers defense last year: 9th-fewest in football.
Bijan Robinson grades out as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL among RBs, hauling in a measly 69.8% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, ranking in the 7th percentile.
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has surrendered the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (74.8%) to running backs last year (74.8%).
When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Pittsburgh's group of LBs has been tremendous last year, grading out as the 9th-best in the league.
Projection For Today's Bijan Robinson Receptions Prop Bet
Bijan Robinson is projected to have 4 Receptions in todays game.
Bijan Robinson Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 25.5 over: -119
- Receiving Yards 25.5 under: -115
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The Falcons offense has played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NFL (adjusted for context) last year, averaging 26.79 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Bijan Robinson has run a route on 69.7% of his offense's dropbacks last year, placing him in the 99th percentile among running backs.
The model projects Bijan Robinson to garner 6.2 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile when it comes to RBs.
When it comes to air yards, Bijan Robinson grades out in the lofty 81st percentile among running backs last year, accumulating a staggering 1.0 per game. (due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage, that is far more notable than it sounds since most RBs have negative air yards).
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.5 pass attempts per game against the Steelers defense last year: 9th-fewest in football.
Bijan Robinson grades out as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL among RBs, hauling in a measly 69.8% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, ranking in the 7th percentile.
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has surrendered the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (74.8%) to running backs last year (74.8%).
When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Pittsburgh's group of LBs has been tremendous last year, grading out as the 9th-best in the league.
Projection For Today's Bijan Robinson Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Bijan Robinson is projected to have 32.5 Receiving Yards in todays game.
Bijan Robinson Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 64.5 over: -114
- Rushing Yards 64.5 under: -114
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
The Falcons offense has played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NFL (adjusted for context) last year, averaging 26.79 seconds per play.
This week, Bijan Robinson is predicted by the projections to slot into the 86th percentile among running backs with 14.2 carries.
The predictive model expects Bijan Robinson to be a more important option in his offense's ground game in this game (55.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been last year (42.2% in games he has played).
Bijan Robinson has generated 50.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground last year, one of the highest marks in football when it comes to running backs (76th percentile).
With an exceptional tally of 3.10 yards after contact (78th percentile), Bijan Robinson ranks among the most formidable running backs in the league last year.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Falcons to run on 40.1% of their opportunities: the 11th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers project as the 10th-best group of LBs in the NFL last year when it comes to run defense.
Projection For Today's Bijan Robinson Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Bijan Robinson is projected to have 61.7 Rushing Yards in todays game.
Bijan Robinson Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 15.5 over: 100
- Carries 15.5 under: -129
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
The Falcons offense has played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NFL (adjusted for context) last year, averaging 26.79 seconds per play.
This week, Bijan Robinson is predicted by the projections to slot into the 86th percentile among running backs with 14.2 carries.
The predictive model expects Bijan Robinson to be a more important option in his offense's ground game in this game (55.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been last year (42.2% in games he has played).
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Falcons to run on 40.1% of their opportunities: the 11th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers project as the 10th-best group of LBs in the NFL last year when it comes to run defense.
Projection For Today's Bijan Robinson Carries Prop Bet
Bijan Robinson is projected to have 13.8 Carries in todays game.
