Amon-Ra St. Brown NFL Week 4 projections and prop bets for Seattle Seahawks at Detroit Lions on Sep 30, 2024
Amon-Ra St. Brown Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 75.5 over: -110
- Receiving Yards 75.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to have 133.2 plays on offense called: the most among all games this week.
The 2nd-most plays in the league have been called by the Lions since the start of last season (a staggering 61.2 per game on average).
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The predictive model expects Amon-Ra St. Brown to earn 10.3 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 100th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
Amon-Ra St. Brown ranks as one of the best pass-catching WRs since the start of last season, averaging an exceptional 83.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 98th percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
This game's line indicates a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 6 points.
Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to be the 9th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.6% pass rate.
Since the start of last season, the stout Seahawks defense has yielded the 10th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wide receivers: a puny 7.8 yards.
The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has excelled when opposing WRs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.00 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 9th-fewest in the NFL.
When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Seattle's collection of safeties has been phenomenal since the start of last season, profiling as the best in football.
Projection For Amon-Ra St. Brown Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Amon-Ra St. Brown is projected to have 83.5 Receiving Yards in this weeks game.
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