Aaron Jones projections, stats and prop bet odds for Minnesota Vikings at New York Giants on Sep 8, 2024
Aaron Jones Player Prop Bet: Receiving Yards
Receiving Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Receiving Yards 14.5 over: -109
- Receiving Yards 14.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Receiving Yards Prop Bet
At the moment, the 4th-fastest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Minnesota Vikings.
This week, Aaron Jones is expected by the projections to rank in the 84th percentile among RBs with 3.3 targets.
Aaron Jones has been a big part of his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 11.5% last year, which places him in the 85th percentile among RBs.
As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Minnesota Vikings grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL last year.
Aaron Jones grades out as one of the top pass-catching running backs last year, averaging an impressive 22.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 86th percentile.
Trends Favoring The Under Receiving Yards Prop Bet
The Minnesota Vikings have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football last year, which ought to mean lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced pass game effectiveness when facing windier conditions in this week's game.
Aaron Jones has accrued a puny -4.0 air yards per game last year: a lowly 7th percentile among RBs.
With a feeble 72.1% Adjusted Catch Rate (16th percentile) last year, Aaron Jones rates among the least sure-handed receivers in football among running backs.
Last year, the daunting New York Giants defense has given up a paltry 25.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing running backs: the 4th-fewest in the NFL.
The New York Giants safeties grade out as the 2nd-best unit in the league last year in pass coverage.
Projection For Today's Aaron Jones Receiving Yards Prop Bet
Aaron Jones is projected to have 16.5 Receiving Yards in todays game.
Aaron Jones Player Prop Bet: Rushing Yards
Rushing Yards Prop Bet Odds:
- Rushing Yards 52.5 over: -110
- Rushing Yards 52.5 under: -120
Trends Favoring The Over Rushing Yards Prop Bet
At the moment, the 4th-fastest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Minnesota Vikings.
The Minnesota Vikings have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football last year, which ought to mean lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced pass game effectiveness when facing windier conditions in this week's game.
Our trusted projections expect Aaron Jones to notch 13.9 carries in this game, on average, putting him in the 81st percentile among RBs.
Aaron Jones has averaged 61.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground last year, one of the biggest figures in the league among running backs (88th percentile).
Last year, the imposing Giants run defense has conceded a mere 4.90 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing rushing attacks: the 30th-lowest rate in the league.
Trends Favoring The Under Rushing Yards Prop Bet
As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, New York's collection of DTs has been very good last year, profiling as the best in the league.
Projection For Today's Aaron Jones Rushing Yards Prop Bet
Aaron Jones is projected to have 59.4 Rushing Yards in todays game.
Aaron Jones Player Prop Bet: Receptions
Receptions Prop Bet Odds:
- Receptions 2.5 over: 128
- Receptions 2.5 under: -167
Trends Favoring The Over Receptions Prop Bet
At the moment, the 4th-fastest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Minnesota Vikings.
This week, Aaron Jones is expected by the projections to rank in the 84th percentile among RBs with 3.3 targets.
Aaron Jones has been a big part of his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 11.5% last year, which places him in the 85th percentile among RBs.
As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Minnesota Vikings grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL last year.
The New York Giants pass defense has conceded the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (89.8%) to RBs last year (89.8%).
Trends Favoring The Under Receptions Prop Bet
The Minnesota Vikings have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football last year, which ought to mean lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced pass game effectiveness when facing windier conditions in this week's game.
With a feeble 72.1% Adjusted Catch Rate (16th percentile) last year, Aaron Jones rates among the least sure-handed receivers in football among running backs.
The New York Giants safeties grade out as the 2nd-best unit in the league last year in pass coverage.
Projection For Today's Aaron Jones Receptions Prop Bet
Aaron Jones is projected to have 2.4 Receptions in todays game.
Aaron Jones Player Prop Bet: Carries
Carries Prop Bet Odds:
- Carries 12.5 over: -125
- Carries 12.5 under: -105
Trends Favoring The Over Carries Prop Bet
At the moment, the 4th-fastest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Minnesota Vikings.
The Minnesota Vikings have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football last year, which ought to mean lower pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced pass game effectiveness when facing windier conditions in this week's game.
Our trusted projections expect Aaron Jones to notch 13.9 carries in this game, on average, putting him in the 81st percentile among RBs.
Aaron Jones has earned 57.1% of his team's run game usage last year, putting him in the 89th percentile among running backs.
Trends Favoring The Under Carries Prop Bet
As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, New York's collection of DTs has been very good last year, profiling as the best in the league.
Projection For Today's Aaron Jones Carries Prop Bet
Aaron Jones is projected to have 13.5 Carries in todays game.
