Chargers -3 (-110) over Dolphins
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- Miami’s offense is not at full strength going into this season, as running back Raheem Mostert is injured and they lost tight end Mike Gesicki in the offseason.
- The Chargers secondary will be better than it was last year, as JC Jackson will make a big difference in this game against the receivers of the Dolphins.
Two of the more intriguing NFL teams this season will meet in Week 1 of the season, as the Los Angeles Chargers host the Miami Dolphins at SoFi Stadium. Both of these teams made the playoffs as Wild Card teams in 2022, but fell on the road in the Wild Card round. Here, we make our NFL predictions for Dolphins vs Chargers, as both teams look to get a win to start what they hope will be another playoff-caliber campaign.
Miami Dolphins
Last year’s Miami Dolphins went 9-8, despite quarterback Tua Tagovailoa missing significant amounts of time due to multiple head injuries. Tagovailoa will be back to start this season, and he will look to light up the scoreboard along with his dynamic receiving duo of Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. But he faces a stern test to open this season, as the Los Angeles Chargers have the kind of pass rush that could make things difficult on him.
While Miami is certainly a threat through the air, how they distribute their running back touches will be interesting in this season opening Dolphins vs Chargers contest. Jeff Wilson and De’Von Achane both have talent, but have not emerged as workhorses on an individual level just yet. Miami will need to figure out how best to use that duo in Mostert’s absence in order to win this one.
Los Angeles Chargers
Justin Herbert and the Los Angeles Chargers looked like they were heading to the Divisional round of the playoffs last season, as they took a huge lead into halftime against the Jacksonville Jaguars on Wild Card weekend. But they blew that lead and were dumped out of the playoffs at the first hurdle, an indignity they will look to rebound from starting with this Week 1 game against the Dolphins.
For the Chargers, the big question for this season will be whether they can do better against the run. The Bolts were a bottom-five team in terms of rushing yards allowed per game in 2022. Fortunately for the Chargers, the Dolphins may not be equipped to take advantage of that with Mostert’s injury, but just about anyone looked capable of running against the Chargers last year.
NFL
Miami Dolphins
Los Angeles Chargers
Team Stats
Passing
Offense/Defense
MIA | Passing | LAC |
---|---|---|
393 | CMP | 389 |
566 | ATT | 598 |
69.4 | CMP% | 65.1 |
265.5 | YDS/GM | 249.8 |
8.3 | Y/A | 7.7 |
7.6 | NY/A | 6.6 |
15 | INT | 9 |
31 | SK | 48 |
Defense/Offense
MIA | Passing | LAC |
---|---|---|
380 | CMP | 409 |
568 | ATT | 632 |
66.9 | CMP% | 64.7 |
221.2 | YDS/GM | 232.8 |
7.3 | Y/A | 6.8 |
6.0 | NY/A | 5.9 |
15 | INT | 8 |
56 | SK | 43 |
Rushing
Offense/Defense
MIA | Rushing | LAC |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
456 | ATT | 467 |
2308 | YDS | 1924 |
135.8 | Y/G | 113.2 |
5.1 | Y/A | 4.1 |
27 | TD | 18 |
1.6 | TD/G | 1.1 |
Defense/Offense
MIA | Rushing | LAC |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
433 | ATT | 431 |
1650 | YDS | 1642 |
97.1 | Y/G | 96.6 |
3.8 | Y/A | 3.8 |
15 | TD | 11 |
0.9 | TD/G | 0.6 |
Special Teams
Offense/Defense
MIA | Special Teams | LAC |
---|---|---|
27 | Punts/Ret | 28 |
265 | Punt/Yds | 221 |
9.8 | Punt/Y/R | 7.9 |
18 | Kick Off/Ret | 11 |
441 | Kick Off/Yds | 213 |
24.5 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 19.4 |
Defense/Offense
MIA | Special Teams | LAC |
---|---|---|
17 | Punts/Ret | 24 |
207 | Punt/Yds | 385 |
12.2 | Punt/Y/R | 16.0 |
15 | Kick Off/Ret | 18 |
457 | Kick Off/Yds | 390 |
30.5 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 21.7 |
Scoring
Offense/Defense
MIA | Scoring | LAC |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
27 | RshTD | 18 |
30 | RecTD | 26 |
24 | FGM | 24 |
28 | FGA | 27 |
29.2 | Pts/G | 23.4 |
Defense/Offense
MIA | Scoring | LAC |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
15 | RshTD | 11 |
27 | RecTD | 24 |
18 | FGM | 31 |
21 | FGA | 33 |
23.0 | Pts/G | 20.4 |
Team Advanced Defense
MIA | Defense | LAC |
---|---|---|
21.5% | Bltz% | 31.5% |
8.0% | Hrry% | 7.0% |
12.7% | QB Hit% | 6.4% |
27.7% | QB Prss% | 19.9% |
Injuries
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Bennett Williams | S | Scrambled | Scrambled | 08/05/23 |
Brandon Jones | S | Scrambled | Scrambled | 09/06/23 |
Cedrick Wilson Jr. | WR | Scrambled | Scrambled | 09/10/23 |
De'Von Achane | RB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 09/10/23 |
Elijah Campbell | DB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 09/10/23 |
Eric Saubert | TE | Scrambled | Scrambled | 09/06/23 |
Jalen Ramsey | CB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 09/10/23 |
Jaylen Waddle | WR | Scrambled | Scrambled | 09/08/23 |
Jeff Wilson Jr. | RB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 09/10/23 |
John Lovett | FB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 08/08/23 |
Julian Hill | TE | Scrambled | Scrambled | 09/10/23 |
Justin Bethel | CB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 09/10/23 |
Keion Crossen | DB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 09/10/23 |
Liam Eichenberg | OL | Scrambled | Scrambled | 09/06/23 |
Nik Needham | CB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 09/10/23 |
Robert Jones | OL | Scrambled | Scrambled | 09/10/23 |
Salvon Ahmed | RB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 09/06/23 |
Skylar Thompson | QB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 09/10/23 |
Tanner Conner | TE | Scrambled | Scrambled | 08/14/23 |
Terron Armstead | OT | Scrambled | Scrambled | 09/10/23 |
Zeke Vandenburgh | LB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 09/10/23 |
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
AJ Finley | S | Scrambled | Scrambled | 09/10/23 |
Alohi Gilman | S | Scrambled | Scrambled | 09/06/23 |
Andrew Trainer | OT | Scrambled | Scrambled | 09/10/23 |
Austin Johnson | DL | Scrambled | Scrambled | 08/14/23 |
Brenden Jaimes | G | Scrambled | Scrambled | 09/10/23 |
Chris Rumph II | OLB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 09/10/23 |
Christopher Hinton | DL | Scrambled | Scrambled | 09/10/23 |
Daiyan Henley | LB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 09/10/23 |
Donald Parham Jr. | TE | Scrambled | Scrambled | 09/06/23 |
Isaiah Spiller | RB | Scrambled | Scrambled | 09/10/23 |
Jalen Guyton | WR | Scrambled | Scrambled | 09/10/23 |
Milton Wright | WR | Scrambled | Scrambled | 09/07/23 |
Nic Melsop | OL | Scrambled | Scrambled | 08/14/23 |
Otito Ogbonnia | DL | Scrambled | Scrambled | 09/10/23 |
Betting Trends
MIA | Betting Trends | LAC |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
1-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-2-0 |
3-0-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
21 | Avg Score | 29.67 |
21 | Avg Opp Score | 24 |
AWAY | HOME | |
0-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
3-0-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-0-1 |
27 | Avg Score | 23.67 |
29.67 | Avg Opp Score | 13.67 |
MIA | Betting Trends | LAC |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
1-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
4-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-1-1 |
22.4 | Avg Score | 25.2 |
24.2 | Avg Opp Score | 17.8 |
AWAY | HOME | |
0-5-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-2-0 |
3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-1-1 |
23 | Avg Score | 24.2 |
29 | Avg Opp Score | 21.6 |
MIA | Betting Trends | LAC |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
4-6-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-5-0 |
6-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 6-3-1 |
25 | Avg Score | 23.7 |
24.1 | Avg Opp Score | 20.9 |
AWAY | HOME | |
3-7-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 6-4-0 |
5-5-0 | ATS W/L/P | 5-4-1 |
25.5 | Avg Score | 23.6 |
30.9 | Avg Opp Score | 22.8 |