Miami Dolphins vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction For Week 7 – 10/20/2024

Dolphins vs Colts Betting Odds

Two AFC teams in need of a win will face off in Week 7 when the Miami Dolphins visit the Indianapolis Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium. Both teams are dealing with injury concerns for their starting quarterbacks, which should add an interesting wrinkle to an already important game. Indy is favored by four points going into this one, while the total for the game is set at 42.

Miami Dolphins vs Indianapolis Colts Win Probabilities

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

Miami Dolphins vs Indianapolis Colts Betting Preview

Tyler Huntley and the Miami Dolphins faceoff against Joe Flacco and the Indianapolis Colts. The Colts enter the game as a favorite (-170) as the home team. Indianapolis is currently favored by -3.0 points while the Game Total is currently sitting on 44.0.

Miami's biggest weakness has been their offense, checking in at #25 in the league with a mere 282 yards per game. A big part of their failure has been the quality (or lack thereof) of their rushing attack, which has been #1-worst in football with just 3.31 yards per carry. In failing to successfully establish the run, Miami has also had trouble moving the ball through the air, averaging a paltry 6.2 yards per target, which ranks them #27 in football. In terms of their defense, the Dolphins have ranked #4 in the league in total yards allowed per game. Opposing offenses have passed for 175 yards per game through the air against them (#30 in football). On the ground, opposing ball-carriers have ranked #12 with 4.89 yards per carry. Miami pass defense has been most effective in shutting down opposing running backs, holding them to 21 yards per game (#1-best). Miami has been least effective in shutting down opposing running backs, giving up 6.87 yards per target (#3-worst).

Indianapolis's primary disadvantage has been their defense, which has allowed a monstrous 411 yards per game this year, sliding them into the #2 spot among the league's worst. They've struggled in large part because they've been unable to keep opposing offenses from moving the chains via their pass attack. Opposing QBs have thrown for the #4-most yards per game (261) against the Colts. Opposing wide receivers have given the Colts the most trouble, posting 9.66 yards per target (#2-worst in football). Indianapolis's defensive ends are perhaps most responsible for their paltry pass rush this year, given that they grade out as the #10-worst unit in the NFL. When it comes to their offense, the Colts check in at #19 in football when it comes to total yards per game. Their passing game has compiled 214 yards per game (#20 in football). Their run game has ranked #16 with 4.3 yards per attempt on the ground.

Miami Hoping the Bye Means Improved Quarterback Play

The Miami Dolphins had Super Bowl aspirations going into this season, but they are off to an uninspiring 2-3 start, thanks in large part to the injury absence of quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. Tagovailoa was concussed earlier this season against the Buffalo Bills, with the Dolphins using a combination of Tyler Huntley and Skylar Thompson in his place. That duo has fewer passing yards combined than Tagovailoa has in 24 fewer attempts. As a result, the Dolphins are wasting their weapons like Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle.

Colts Hope to Have Richardson Back Under Center

The Indianapolis Colts have won three of their last four games to get to 3-3 on the season. And they have done so without the services of Anthony Richardson over the last couple of weeks. Richardson suffered an injury on a scramble against the Pittsburgh Steelers, with the Colts going with Joe Flacco in his place over the last two games. Flacco hasn’t been terrible in Richardson’s absence, with the Colts splitting those two games, as the Colts hope to have their intended starting quarterback on the field again in front of their home fans.

Miami Dolphins vs Indianapolis Colts Prediction

Final Score: Miami Dolphins 22.6 vs Indianapolis Colts 24.15

Even if Richardson does take the field again in Week 7, there is no guarantee that he will be a positive addition to the Colts offense. We will take the under in this Dolphins vs Colts contest, as we expect the Dolphins to continue to struggle with their backup quarterbacks in play, while Richardson’s struggles pre-injury have become something to monitor for the hosts.

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