The Dallas Cowboys (3-3-1) will head to Denver to face the Broncos (5-2) on Sunday afternoon. Both of these teams are playing well and will look to get an important win in the Mile High City this weekend. Here, I look at the keys to this game for both sides and give you my Cowboys vs Broncos prediction for Week 8.
Our Cowboys vs Broncos Pick
- Pick: Over 50.5
- Confidence: 4/5
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Dallas Cowboys vs Denver Broncos
- Date & Time: Sunday, October 26, 2025, 4:25 PM ET
- Venue: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO
- Broadcast: CBS
Cowboys vs Broncos Odds
Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|
Broncos -3.5 | Cowboys +150 / Broncos -175 | 50.5 |
Key Storylines
- Can Denver Build On Comeback?: The Denver Broncos won one of the most memorable games in recent memory in the NFL last week. They trailed by 18 points in the fourth quarter against the New York Giants. But they scored 33 points in the fourth quarter after being shut out for three quarters, earning a hard-fought 33-32 win over New York. The home crowd will be excited this week after that performance and the Broncos will attempt to feed off that energy.
- Quarterback Play: Dak Prescott has been exceptional, throwing 16 touchdowns to just three interceptions while leading the Cowboys' high-powered offense. Denver's Bo Nix has been less consistent with 11 touchdowns and four picks. But Nix has lead his team to more wins than Prescott has so far this season.
- Suspension Impact: Broncos linebacker Dre Greenlaw has been suspended for this game due to post-game conduct after last week's win over the Giants. That could potentially weaken Denver's defensive front against a potent offense.
- Broncos Riding High at Home: The Broncos are 3-0 at home coming into this game after getting a miracle comeback win in Week 7. Dallas can score in bunches, but the Broncos are favored to get a fourth straight win at home to open the year.
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Broncos are 2-4-1 against the spread this season.
- The Cowboys are 4-3 against the spread going into Week 8.
- Dallas has had five of their first seven games go over their totals this year.
- Five of Denver's first seven games have gone under their totals.
Cowboys vs Broncos Model Projection
- Score Projection: Cowboys 24 – Broncos 27
- Win Probability: Cowboys 43%, Broncos 57%
Final Thoughts
This is going to be a close game as far as I'm concerned and the point spread lines up with my model projections. Instead of taking a side on the point spread market, I'll go with the over in this game instead. The Cowboys are built to play games that go over the total right now. They have a potent passing game but are soft on defense. That combination should help them reach another total in Denver.
Jay Sanin
Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.
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