On Christmas Eve, the Buffalo Bills and Chicago Bears will face each other in an inter-conference matchup. Buffalo has emerged as a Super Bowl favorite, while the Bears are still in the mix to grab the top pick in the NFL Draft. But the Bills have been vulnerable to upsets already this season and need to bring their best to avoid a lump of coal in the form of a shocking loss in Chicago. In our NFL picks for Week 16, we break down Bills vs Bears.
Bills vs Bears Betting Pick
ℹ️ The Pick: | Over 41 |
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This game will be played at Soldier Field at 1:00 PM ET on Saturday, December 24, 2022.
Why Bet the Over:
✅ The Bears rank 30th in the NFL in scoring defense, and have given up 25 or more points in seven straight games. Against one of the most prolific offenses in the NFL, they will do so once again en route to this game going over the total.
✅ On the other side of the ball, the mobility of Justin Fields is something that can help the Bears put points on the board. He can break the pocket and run with the ball, which will not allow the Bills defense to stop him quite as easily as most quarterbacks. The Bears will do just enough to help this game get over the number.
✅ Chicago is tied for the most overs in the NFL so far this season. They have gone 9-5 to the over on their totals this year, which is tied with the Eagles, Vikings, and Lions. They will get a 10th over this weekend.
NFL
Buffalo Bills
Chicago Bears
Team Stats
Passing
Offense/Defense
BUF | Passing | CHI |
---|---|---|
385 | CMP | 410 |
579 | ATT | 617 |
66.5 | CMP% | 66.5 |
244.4 | YDS/GM | 237.8 |
7.4 | Y/A | 6.9 |
6.9 | NY/A | 6.2 |
18 | INT | 22 |
24 | SK | 30 |
Defense/Offense
BUF | Passing | CHI |
---|---|---|
363 | CMP | 321 |
552 | ATT | 513 |
65.8 | CMP% | 62.6 |
196.6 | YDS/GM | 182.1 |
6.7 | Y/A | 6.7 |
5.5 | NY/A | 5.5 |
18 | INT | 15 |
54 | SK | 50 |
Rushing
Offense/Defense
BUF | Rushing | CHI |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
512 | ATT | 388 |
2212 | YDS | 1468 |
130.1 | Y/G | 86.4 |
4.3 | Y/A | 3.8 |
22 | TD | 8 |
1.3 | TD/G | 0.5 |
Defense/Offense
BUF | Rushing | CHI |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
409 | ATT | 534 |
1880 | YDS | 2399 |
110.6 | Y/G | 141.1 |
4.6 | Y/A | 4.5 |
14 | TD | 16 |
0.8 | TD/G | 0.9 |
Special Teams
Offense/Defense
BUF | Special Teams | CHI |
---|---|---|
31 | Punts/Ret | 30 |
360 | Punt/Yds | 381 |
11.6 | Punt/Y/R | 12.7 |
17 | Kick Off/Ret | 15 |
349 | Kick Off/Yds | 371 |
20.5 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 24.7 |
Defense/Offense
BUF | Special Teams | CHI |
---|---|---|
19 | Punts/Ret | 23 |
237 | Punt/Yds | 188 |
12.5 | Punt/Y/R | 8.2 |
29 | Kick Off/Ret | 23 |
649 | Kick Off/Yds | 543 |
22.4 | Kick Off/Y/rt | 23.6 |
Scoring
Offense/Defense
BUF | Scoring | CHI |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
22 | RshTD | 8 |
29 | RecTD | 31 |
24 | FGM | 24 |
29 | FGA | 33 |
26.5 | Pts/G | 22.3 |
Defense/Offense
BUF | Scoring | CHI |
---|---|---|
17 | G | 17 |
14 | RshTD | 16 |
18 | RecTD | 19 |
26 | FGM | 35 |
28 | FGA | 38 |
18.3 | Pts/G | 21.2 |
Team Advanced Defense
BUF | Defense | CHI |
---|---|---|
23.5% | Bltz% | 22.2% |
6.9% | Hrry% | 6.4% |
10.7% | QB Hit% | 8.8% |
24.4% | QB Prss% | 18.8% |
Injuries
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Baylon Spector | LB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/24/22 |
Boogie Basham | DE | Calf | Out | 12/24/22 |
Christian Benford | CB | Oblique | Out | 12/24/22 |
Dean Marlowe | S | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/24/22 |
Jake Kumerow | WR | Ankle | Out | 12/24/22 |
Jamison Crowder | WR | Ankle | Out | 12/24/22 |
Justin Murray | OT | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/24/22 |
Micah Hyde | S | Neck | Out | 12/24/22 |
Mitch Morse | C | Concussion | Out | 12/24/22 |
Tommy Doyle | OT | Knee (acl) | Out | 12/24/22 |
Tommy Sweeney | TE | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/24/22 |
Von Miller | LB | Knee | Out | 12/24/22 |
Xavier Rhodes | CB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/24/22 |
Jordan Poyer | S | Knee | Questionable | 12/22/22 |
Matt Milano | LB | Knee | Questionable | 12/22/22 |
A.J. Epenesa | DE | Elbow | Probable | 12/21/22 |
Cam Lewis | CB | Forearm | Probable | 12/21/22 |
Ed Oliver | DT | Calf | Probable | 12/24/22 |
Jordan Phillips | DT | Shoulder | Probable | 12/24/22 |
Josh Allen | QB | Elbow | Probable | 12/22/22 |
Rodger Saffold | G | Knee | Probable | 12/22/22 |
Ryan Bates | OL | Ankle | Probable | 12/22/22 |
Name | Position | Injury | Status | Updated |
---|---|---|---|---|
Angelo Blackson | DL | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/24/22 |
Chase Claypool | WR | Knee | Out | 12/24/22 |
Cody Whitehair | OL | Knee | Out | 12/24/22 |
Dakota Dozier | OL | Leg/knee | Out | 12/24/22 |
Dane Cruikshank | DB | Hamstring | Out | 12/24/22 |
Darnell Mooney | WR | Ankle | Out | 12/24/22 |
Doug Kramer | OL | Foot | Out | 12/24/22 |
Eddie Jackson | DB | Foot | Out | 12/24/22 |
Equanimeous St. Brown | WR | Concussion | Out | 12/24/22 |
Jack Sanborn | LB | Ankle | Out | 12/24/22 |
Jaylon Johnson | DB | Ribs | Out | 12/24/22 |
Kindle Vildor | DB | Ankle | Out | 12/24/22 |
Lucas Patrick | OL | Toe | Out | 12/24/22 |
Teven Jenkins | OL | Neck | Out | 12/24/22 |
Tim Boyle | QB | Gameday Inactive | Out | 12/24/22 |
Trevon Wesco | TE | Leg | Out | 12/24/22 |
Trevor Siemian | QB | Oblique | Out | 12/24/22 |
Khalil Herbert | RB | Hip | Questionable | 12/22/22 |
Riley Reiff | OL | Illness | Questionable | 12/22/22 |
Armon Watts | DT | Shoulder | Probable | 12/22/22 |
Josh Blackwell | DB | Shoulder | Probable | 12/21/22 |
Justin Jones | DL | Illness | Probable | 12/22/22 |
Larry Borom | OL | Ankle/knee | Probable | 12/21/22 |
N'Keal Harry | WR | Back | Probable | 12/21/22 |
Betting Trends
BUF | Betting Trends | CHI |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
3-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 0-3-0 |
1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
25.33 | Avg Score | 16.33 |
17 | Avg Opp Score | 28 |
AWAY | HOME | |
2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 0-3-0 |
1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-2-0 |
23 | Avg Score | 23 |
18.33 | Avg Opp Score | 28 |
BUF | Betting Trends | CHI |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
5-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 0-5-0 |
1-3-1 | ATS W/L/P | 1-4-0 |
27 | Avg Score | 20.6 |
19.8 | Avg Opp Score | 28.4 |
AWAY | HOME | |
4-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 0-5-0 |
2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
23.2 | Avg Score | 21.6 |
19 | Avg Opp Score | 26.2 |
BUF | Betting Trends | CHI |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
8-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 1-9-0 |
3-6-1 | ATS W/L/P | 4-6-0 |
27.1 | Avg Score | 22.6 |
19.2 | Avg Opp Score | 28.1 |
AWAY | HOME | |
6-4-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-7-0 |
4-6-0 | ATS W/L/P | 4-5-1 |
26.2 | Avg Score | 21 |
22.2 | Avg Opp Score | 21.4 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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Buffalo Bills
Last week, the Buffalo Bills played on a Saturday night and did just enough to beat the Miami Dolphins by a field goal. It was a terrible performance from the defense of the Bills, which allowed 29 points along the way. But the Bills defense will aim to get back on track in this matchup, as they look to strengthen their grip on the top spot in the AFC.
Buffalo was pretty precise with the football in the red zone against the Dolphins, something that has not been a guarantee for them this season. Look for them to remain that way this week, against one of the three worst scoring defenses in the NFL.
Chicago Bears
The Chicago Bears put up a great fight against the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 15 of the NFL season. But they fell just short, as they could not get the late score that they needed to knock off the team with the best record in the NFC. This week, the Bears take on a title contender for the second straight week, and will hope for better results at home.
Chicago’s defense will be the key for them in this game, as they look to put the clamps on Josh Allen and the Bills offense. The Bears did very well on defense for most of the game against the Eagles, but still could not avoid a 10th loss in 11 games. It might take the perfect performance on defense for them to get back into the win column here after seven losses in a row.
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