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Chicago Bears Betting Preview
The Chicago Bears went 7-10 in the 2023 NFL season, but they ended up with the first overall pick in the draft thanks to a trade with the Carolina Panthers. Their reward for that was Caleb Williams, who replaces Justin Fields as the quarterback of the future in the Windy City. Here, we break down the upcoming season for Chicago and make our prediction for their season win total in our 2024 Chicago Bears season preview.
2024 Chicago Bears Over/Under Season Win Total Odds
| Sportsbook | Over/Under Wins |
|---|---|
| Caesars Sportsbook | 8.5 |
| BetMGM | 8.5 |
Chicago Bears Futures Betting Odds
Standings Data
| 2023 | 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Actual Record | 7-10 | 3-14 |
| Point Differential | -19 | -137 |
| ATS W/L | 8-7-2 | 5-11-1 |
| Over/Under Record | 9-8 | 10-7 |
| Record in Division Games | 2-4 | 0-6 |
Chicago Bears Picks, Predictions & Betting News
Offseason Transactions
Key Additions: Caleb Williams, D’Andre Swift, Keenan Allen, Rome Odunze, Ryan Bates, Matt Pryor, Gerald Everett, Kevin Byard, Jonathan Owens
Key Departures: Justin Fields, D’Onta Foreman, Darnell Mooney, Robert Tonyan, Cody Whitehair, Dan Feeney, Yannick Ngakoue, Justin Jones, Eddie Jackson
The biggest story for the Bears this offseason came in the NFL Draft when they took Caleb Williams out of USC to be their next quarterback. Williams was a prolific passer at Oklahoma and USC, but there are questions about his ability to deliver the ball on schedule against higher-quality defenses. Still, adding D’Andre Swift and Keenan Allen to join Williams on offense could make the Bears a dangerous offensive club even as Williams figures things out.
Chicago Bears Offensive Stats
| 2023 (Rank) | 2022 (Rank) | |
|---|---|---|
| Yards Per Play | 5.0 (T-22nd) | 5.3 (T-17th) |
| Yards Per Rush Attempt | 4.5 (6th) | 5.4 (1st) |
| Yards Per Pass Attempt | 6.7 (T-23rd) | 6.9 (T-18th) |
| Points Per Game | 21.2 (18th) | 19.2 (23rd) |
| Turnovers | 25 (T-21st) | 25 (T-27th) |
The Chicago Bears were wildly inconsistent offensively over the course of the 2023 season. Justin Fields had his moments of brilliance, but those moments were surrounded by poor play and some injuries that led to backups like Tyson Bagent getting some time on the field. This year’s Bears team should look different offensively with Williams at the helm, though that could be a positive or a negative depending on how well he adjusts to life in the pros early on.
Chicago Bears Defensive Stats
| 2023 (Rank) | 2022 (Rank) | |
|---|---|---|
| Yards Per Play Allowed | 5.3 (T-16th) | 6.1 (31st) |
| Yards Per Rush Attempt Allowed | 3.8 (T-3rd) | 4.9 (T-26th) |
| Yards Per Pass Attempt Allowed | 6.6 (T-13th) | 7.7 (32nd) |
| Points Per Game Allowed | 22.3 (20th) | 27.2 (32nd) |
| Takeaways | 28 (T-5th) | 23 (T-14th) |
Chicago wasn’t bad defensively by any means last season, but they were put in a bad spot by their offense on many occasions. The struggles of the Bears offense led to more time on the field than the defense should have had to deal with, which meant a tougher path to get stops consistently. Still, Chicago ranked in the top-five in takeaways last season and they could have a fighting chance on that side of the ball if they get a little bit of a breather from the offense in 2024.
Positives & Negatives
Once again, the biggest positive for the Bears is optimism going into this season. While that optimism eventually needs to turn into some tangible progress on the offensive side of the ball, having another quarterback that could be the future of the franchise is at least something to provide a hope-starved fanbase with some of that this year.
But with that optimism comes the biggest negative for the Bears in 2024, that being another year with an unproven commodity as an NFL quarterback. Caleb Williams could turn out to be great as a professional passer. But without any way of knowing that, it is tough to know for sure what we are going to see from him. Look for there to be plenty of ups and downs with Williams, as the Bears look to turn him into their signal caller for years to come.
2024 Chicago Bears Win Total Prediction: Under 8.5 Wins
There is some undeniable potential there with the Chicago Bears heading into the 2024 NFL season. Caleb Williams has all of the tools to turn into a good professional quarterback and he has some weapons that should help him get there as quickly as possible. However, this is the Bears, and nothing is ever as easy as it seems with them. We will take the under on Chicago’s season win total, as Williams should have plenty of growing pains in what will be a year the Bears should be able to look back on and laugh if he turns out to be the real deal down the road.
