The Oklahoma Sooners (19-12, 9-9 Big 12) square off against the No. 22 West Virginia Mountaineers (21-10, 9-9 Big 12) in the Big 12 Conference Tourney at Sprint Center. The game will air on ESPN2 at 9 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 12, 2020.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 134 points with West Virginia opening as a 3.5-point favorite.
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Oklahoma Sooners ATS Prediction
In the Mountaineers’ last matchup, they easily covered the 1.5-point spread against the No. 4 Baylor Bears, 76-64. The game’s combined points (140) finished over the O/U total of 130.5. The Mountaineers made 24 of their 34 free throws (70.6 percent) and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 48.5 (above their season average of 40.1). West Virginia rallied around Oscar Tshiebwe, who contributed 16 points and 12 rebounds.
The Sooners barely escaped the TCU Horned Frogs in their last outing, 78-76, despite being 1-point underdogs. The game’s total points (154) came in well over the projected point total of 133.5. The Sooners knocked down 19 of their 24 free throws (79.2 percent) and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 36.8 (above their season average of 22.8). Austin Reaves was the top scorer from either team with 41 points on 12-for-23 shooting from the field.
Ball protection could play a significant role in this matchup. Oklahoma commits the 26th-fewest miscues in the country (turnover percentage of 16.1 percent), while the pesky defense of West Virginia forces the 31st-most (opponents’ turnover percentage of 22.7 percent). Moreover, the Mountaineers rank eighth in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.445), while the Sooners rank 265th in effective field goal percentage (0.482).
West Virginia holds records of 21-10 straight up (SU) and 15-15-1 against the spread (ATS). Games featuring the Mountaineers tend to go under the projected point total (64.5 percent).
Meanwhile, Oklahoma owns records of 19-12 SU and 14-16-1 ATS. Coinciding with West Virginia, Sooners games have finished under the O/U total 54.8 percent of the time.
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Oklahoma Sooners Odds Pick
College Basketball Pick: ATS Winner – West Virginia, O/U – Under
West Virginia averages 40.6 rebounds per game, which ranks 11th in the NCAA. Oklahoma ranks 259th in rebounds allowed per game (38.1).
The Mountaineers rank 95th in three pointers allowed per game (20.3) while the Sooners rank 284th (25.2).
West Virginia ranks 48th in steals per game (7.7) while Oklahoma ranks 149th (6.1).
The Sooners rank 32nd in blocks allowed per game (2.5) while the Mountaineers rank 125th (3.4).
West Virginia ranks 18th in assists allowed per game (10.1) while Oklahoma ranks 82nd (11.7).
In its last five games, West Virginia is 1-3-1 ATS with 2 overs, 2 unders and 1 push.
Oklahoma is 3-2 ATS with 2 overs, 2 unders and 1 push over its last five games.
The Mountaineers have been outscored by an average of 2.0 points in their last five games. On the season, West Virginia has defeated opponents by an average of 7.9 points.
During their last five games, the Sooners have scored an average of 66.6 points per game (3.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 64.8 points per game (2.6 below their season average).