The Sweet Sixteen battle between the No. 1 Duke Blue Devils (31-5, 17-4 ACC) and the No. 4 Virginia Tech Hokies (26-8, 13-7 ACC) will be played at Capital One Arena. Duke opened as a 7-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 144 points. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:39 p.m. ET on Friday, March 29, 2019.
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Duke Blue Devils Free Preview
The Hokies were victorious over the No. 12 Liberty Flames in the Second Round, 67-58, but were not able to cover as 9.5-point favorites. Kerry Blackshear Jr. was the top scorer from either team with 19 points on 8-for-19 shooting. The Hokies had a solid turnover percentage of 9.9 (better than their season average of 15.6) and held the Flames to an offensive rebounding percentage of 13.3 (below their season average of 26.0). The two teams combined to put up 125 points, which finished just under the O/U total of 127.
In the Second Round, the Blue Devils beat the No. 9 UCF Knights, 77-76, but they failed to cover as 13-point favorites. Duke was lifted by Zion Williamson, who was the top scorer from either team with 32 points on 12-for-24 shooting. The Blue Devils had 8 steals and held the Knights to an offensive rebounding percentage of 23.3 (below their season average of 29.7). Combined, the two teams scored 153 points, which came in over the projected point total of 142.
Of Virginia Tech’s 34 games, 18 have finished under the projected point total, while 25 of Duke’s 36 games have finished under the projected point total. The Blue Devils have the superior straight up (SU) record (31-5 vs. 26-8), but the Hokies have been better against the spread (ATS) (18-15-1 vs. 18-18).
This battle pits one of the country’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses. Duke currently ranks 19th in offensive efficiency and Virginia Tech ranks 28th in defensive efficiency.
Virginia Tech vs. Duke Free Prediction
Basketball Tip: SU Winner – Duke, ATS Winner – Virginia Tech, O/U – Under
The Hokies rank 22nd in steals allowed per game (5.0) while the Blue Devils rank 142nd (6.3).
Duke ranks 25th in assists per game (15.8) while Virginia Tech ranks 78th in assists allowed per game (11.9).
Duke ranks second in rebounds per game (41.5) while Virginia Tech ranks 274th (32.5).
The Blue Devils rank first in blocks per game (6.7) while the Hokies rank 231st (2.2).
Duke averages 23.9 three pointers per game, which ranks 97th in the NCAA. Virginia Tech ranks 303rd in three pointers allowed per game (26.7).
Duke is 1-4 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs in its last five games.
Across its last five games, Virginia Tech is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
The Blue Devils’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 9.4, down from 15.7 for the season.
During their last five games, the Hokies have scored an average of 70.2 points per game (3.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 60.2 points per game (1.5 below their season average).