The Second Round of the NCAA Tournament battle between the No. 3 Purdue Boilermakers (24-9) and the No. 6 Villanova Wildcats (26-9) will be played at XL Center. Purdue opened as a 3.5-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 137 points. Action gets underway at 8:40 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 23, 2019.
Villanova Wildcats vs. Purdue Boilermakers Odds Preview
In the First Round, the Wildcats were victorious over the No. 11 Saint Mary’s Gaels, 61-57, covering as 3.5-point favorites. Phil Booth was the game’s leading scorer with 20 points on 7-for-13 shooting. Villanova dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a free throw rate of 0.102 (matching their season average) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.571 (above their season average of 0.534). For those same stats, Saint Mary’s was 0.055 and 0.491, respectively. The two teams combined to score 118 points, which was under the projected point total of 127.
The Boilermakers come in on a high note after covering the 12.5-point spread against the No. 14 Old Dominion Monarchs in the First Round, 61-48. With 26 points on 7-for-23 shooting, Carsen Edwards was the top scorer from either team. The Boilermakers had a free throw rate of 0.226 (above their season average of 0.215) and held the Monarchs to an effective field goal percentage of 0.313 (below their season average of 0.477). The two teams combined to score 109 points, which was well under the projected point total of 126.5.
Of Villanova’s 35 games, 20 have finished under the projected point total, while 17 of Purdue’s 33 games have finished over the O/U total. Both teams have respectable straight up (SU) records (26-9 for Villanova; 24-9 for Purdue), but the Wildcats hold a slight advantage against the spread (ATS). Villanova is 21-14 ATS, while the Boilermakers are 18-15.
This matchup figures to be a high-scoring affair as two of the nation’s premier offenses face off. Purdue currently ranks 17th with 114.6 points per 100 possessions and Villanova is 27th (113.2).
Villanova vs. Purdue Prediction
Pick: SU Winner – Purdue, ATS Winner – Villanova, O/U – Over
The Boilermakers rank 34th in rebounds allowed per game (31.9) while the Wildcats rank 69th (32.9).
Purdue ranks 15th in steals allowed per game (4.9) while Villanova ranks 41st (5.3).
Villanova ranks fifth in three pointers attempted per game (29.8) while Purdue ranks 212th in three pointers allowed per game (23.4).
The Wildcats rank 15th in blocks allowed per game (2.3) while the Boilermakers rank 187th (3.8).
Purdue ranks 82nd in assists per game (14.4) while Villanova ranks 183rd in assists allowed per game (13.5).
Purdue is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.
Over its last five games, Villanova is 2-3 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
The Boilermakers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 11.0, up from 9.5 for the season.
During their last five games, the Wildcats have scored an average of 70.8 points per game (3.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 67.4 points per game (0.6 above their season average).