Offense meets defense when the No. 13 Dayton Flyers (14-2, 3-0 A10) welcome the VCU Rams (12-4, 2-1 A10) to University of Dayton Arena. The game will air on CBS Sports Network at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 14, 2020.
VCU Rams vs. Dayton Flyers ATS Prediction
In the Rams’ last game, they were topped by the Rhode Island Rams, 65-56. Making free throws was one of Rhode Island’s largest advantages. They were 19-22 (86.4 percent), while VCU was 8-11 (72.7 percent). VCU’s Marcus Santos-Silva put together a good game, contributing 11 points and 14 rebounds.
The Flyers dismantled the Massachusetts Minutemen in their last game, 88-60. The Flyers forced 21 turnovers and held the Minutemen to an offensive rebounding percentage of 17.6 (below their season average of 26.8). With 15 points and 14 rebounds, Ryan Mikesell had a solid performance for Dayton.
After the Rams won both matchups against the Flyers last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the most recent game, VCU won 69-68. VCU had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (43.8 vs. 30.0). Dayton, meanwhile, had a better free throw rate (0.220 vs. 0.123).
This matchup pits one of the NCAA’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses. Dayton ranks second in offensive efficiency and VCU ranks 16th in defensive efficiency.
VCU vs. Dayton Free Pick
Basketball Tip: ATS Winner – VCU, O/U – Under
Dayton ranks first in assists per game (19.4) while VCU ranks 134th (13.4).
The Flyers rank 34th in rebounds allowed per game (31.4) while the Rams rank 156th (35.7).
VCU ranks 12th in steals per game (9.6) while Dayton ranks 120th (6.8).
The Rams rank 20th in blocks per game (5.3) while the Flyers rank 78th (3.8).
VCU is 25th in the country with 18.1 three pointers allowed per game while Dayton is 58th with 19.5 three pointers allowed per game.
The Rams’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 9.2, down from 10.0 for the season.
During their last five games, the Flyers have scored an average of 82.0 points per game (1.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 59.4 points per game (5.5 below their season average).