UNLV vs San Diego State College Basketball Prediction 2/11/23

Vincent Senick on February 10th, 2023

A Mountain West Conference showdown is set for Saturday afternoon when the UNLV Rebels (16-8, 5-7 in MWC) visit the #25 San Diego State Aztecs (19-5, 10-2). San Diego State sits at the top of the conference standings, but there are three teams within two games of them. Below is my college basketball pick for UNLV vs San Diego State.

UNLV vs San Diego State Betting Pick

ℹ️ The Pick:	SDSU -9.5
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This game will be played at Viejas Arena at 4:00 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 11, 2023.

Why Bet SDSU -9.5

✅ SDSU is 6-1 ATS in their last seven games played.

✅ The Aztecs are 19-1 in their last 20 home games.

✅ UNLV is 1-9 in their last 10 games against SDSU.

NCAABB

Feb 11, 2023 04:00 PM

UNLV Rebels

San Diego State Aztecs

Spread Pick Consensus

N/A UNLV

SDST N/A

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+339

-447

N/A UNLV

SDST N/A

Total Pick Consensus

138.5/

N/A UN

OV N/A

Team Stats Per Game

Offense/Defense

UNLV	Team Stats Per Game	SDST
81.75	PTS GM	62.33
56.5	FGA	58.67
.478	FG%	.347
.391	3PT%	.304
9.25	ORB	11.67
5.88	DRB	8.22
32.75	TRB	36.33
24.5	FTA	19
.786	FT%	.772
15.5	AST	11.67
3.25	BLK	1
10.5	TO	12.33
17	PF	16.33

Defense/Offense

UNLV	Team Stats Per Game	SDST
71.75	PTS GM	76.67
55	FGA	62.33
.455	FG%	.439
.369	3PT%	.391
9	ORB	10.33
5.94	DRB	9.22
32.75	TRB	38
18.5	FTA	15.33
.757	FT%	.696
15.5	AST	15
2.5	BLK	8.33
15	TO	9.67
19.25	PF	16.67

Advanced Game Stats

Offense/Defense

UNLV	Advanced Game Stats	SDST
69.6	Pace	68.7
117.5	Off.Rate	90.8
.434	FTr	.324
.385	3PAr	.392
.600	TS%	.460
50.0	TRB%	48.9
57.4	AST%	57.4
14.4	STL%	6.8
9.6	BLK%	3.0
.553	eFG%	.406
13.4	TOV%	15.4
28.0	ORB%	29.7
.341	TF/FGA	.250

Defense/Offense

UNLV	Advanced Game Stats	SDST
69.6	Pace	68.7
103.1	Off.Rate	111.7
.336	FTr	.246
.382	3PAr	.465
.562	TS%	.551
50.0	TRB%	51.1
62.0	AST%	54.9
6.8	STL%	10.2
7.2	BLK%	23.4
.525	eFG%	.529
19.0	TOV%	12.2
27.7	ORB%	29.5
.255	TF/FGA	.171

Betting Trends

UNLV	Betting Trends	SDST
OVERALL		OVERALL
2-1-0	Win/Loss/Tie	2-1-0
2-1-0	ATS W/L/P	2-1-0
77	Avg Score	67
70.67	Avg Opp Score	62.67
AWAY		HOME
2-1-0	Win/Loss/Tie	3-0-0
2-1-0	ATS W/L/P	3-0-0
71.67	Avg Score	76.33
68.67	Avg Opp Score	59.33

UNLV	Betting Trends	SDST
OVERALL		OVERALL
4-1-0	Win/Loss/Tie	4-1-0
4-1-0	ATS W/L/P	4-1-0
77	Avg Score	71.6
69.2	Avg Opp Score	62.8
AWAY		HOME
3-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	4-1-0
4-1-0	ATS W/L/P	3-2-0
74	Avg Score	74
71.6	Avg Opp Score	63.8

UNLV	Betting Trends	SDST
OVERALL		OVERALL
5-5-0	Win/Loss/Tie	8-2-0
6-4-0	ATS W/L/P	6-4-0
75	Avg Score	73.1
74	Avg Opp Score	66.6
AWAY		HOME
5-5-0	Win/Loss/Tie	9-1-0
6-4-0	ATS W/L/P	4-5-0
73.4	Avg Score	74.6
71.6	Avg Opp Score	58.6

Head to Head

DATE	TM	LN	ML	SC
12/31/2022	SDST UNLV	137.0 4.0	-185 +151	76 67
01/24/2022	UNLV SDST	126.5 -10.5	+436 -605	55 80
01/01/2022	SDST UNLV	130.5 3.5	-166 +137	62 55
03/03/2021	SDST UNLV	131.5 10.0	-570 +410	71 62
02/22/2020	UNLV SDST	134.5 -14.5	+905 -1520	66 63
01/26/2020	SDST UNLV	133.5 7.5	-303 +240	71 67
03/14/2019	SDST UNLV	136.5 2.0	-135 +115	63 55
02/23/2019	SDST UNLV	142.5 1.0	-117 -103	60 59
01/26/2019	UNLV SDST	147.0 -5.5	+200 -235	77 94
02/17/2018	UNLV SDST	156.0 -4.0	+160 -180	56 94

Teams Last 10

DATE	TM	LN	ML	SC
03/27/24	UNLV SETON	127.9 -5.3	+186 -246	60 81
03/24/24	BOSCOL UNLV	249.1 -6.1	+247 -304	122 137
03/20/24	UNLV PRNCE	224.1 -5.6	+235 -290	134 123
03/09/24	UNLV NEVADA	54.5 -2.4	+84 -105	26 30
03/05/24	SDST UNLV	202.7 5.6	-232 +190	87 93
03/02/24	SJST UNLV	126.6 -12.3	+679 -1171	46 62
02/24/24	COLST UNLV	211.7 -1.5	-164 -175	92 101
02/21/24	UNLV AIRF	81.0 2.5	-180 +144	44 26
02/17/24	NEVADA UNLV	152.8 -1.6	+115 -139	76 72
02/14/24	UNLV FREST	61.8 0.9	-95 +77	30 29

DATE	TM	LN	ML	SC
03/28/24	SDST UCONN	181.8 -16.6	+754 -1220	69 109
03/24/24	YALE SDST	230.9 -10.4	+349 -427	99 148
03/22/24	UAB SDST	215.5 -9.2	+318 -396	100 106
03/16/24	NMX SDST	40.6 -0.6	+31 -38	19 17
03/15/24	SDST UTAHST	147.8 5.7	-226 +184	92 75
03/05/24	SDST UNLV	202.7 5.6	-232 +190	87 93
02/27/24	SJST SDST	95.3 -14.7	+1086 -3961	44 49
02/27/24	SJST SDST	95.3 -14.7	+1086 -3961	44 49
02/24/24	SDST FREST	210.2 19.9	-1628 +1014	112 63
02/20/24	SDST UTAHST	203.0 -4.9	+190 -232	88 95

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UNLV Rebels

Last time out, UNLV visited the Wyoming Cowboys and used a big second half to win 69-59. The Rebels led by just one point at the half, but they came out of the half on fire and took control of the game. UNLV led by as many as 13 points, never trailed by more than four, and covered the -3.5-point spread.

EJ Harkless went off for 33 points, eight rebounds, two assists, and one steal on the night. Keshon Gilbert added 10 points, five rebounds, three assists, and two steals in the victory.

Through 24 games, UNLV is scoring 76.1 points per game, shooting 44.5% from the field, and assisting on 13.5 made shots. The Rebels are allowing 68.5 points, grabbing 33.6 rebounds, blocking 3.8 shots, and stealing the ball 9.5 times.

San Diego State Aztecs

San Diego State visited the Utah State Aggies and escaped with a 63-61 victory. The Aztecs came out hot in this one and built a 16-point halftime advantage, but the game was nowhere near over. After the break, the Aggies started chipping away and made it an uncomfortable final few minutes, but it was too little too late. San Diego State led by as many as 16 points, trailed by no more than three points, and won outright as three-point road underdogs.

Matt Bradley had 18 points, six rebounds, one assist, and three steals in the game. Jaedon LeDee added 14 points, 10 rebounds, and one assist off the bench.

After 24 games, San Diego State is scoring 74.3 points per game, shooting 45.5% from the field, and assisting on 13.6 made shots. The Aztecs are allowing 65.5 points, grabbing 35.4 rebounds, blocking 3.0 shots, and stealing the ball 7.3 times.