The Wright State Raiders (21-5, 11-2 Hor) will try to extend their nine-game home winning streak in a matchup against the UIC Flames (12-14, 7-6 Hor) at Ervin J. Nutter Center. The game starts at 9 p.m. ET on Friday, February 14, 2020, and will air on ESPN2.
Wright State is an 11.5-point favorite on the opening line, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 148 points at PointsBet NJ Sportsbook.
UIC Flames vs. Wright State Raiders Betting Prediction
The Flames will be looking for similar success after easily covering the 2-point spread against the Green Bay Phoenix in their last game, 71-58. The total points for the game (129) came in well under the projected point total of 158.5. UIC’s effective field goal percentage was their largest strength over Green Bay. The Flames had a rate of 0.565 (above their season average of 0.504), while the Phoenix posted a mark of 0.411 (below their season average of 0.521). UIC received a boost from Tarkus Ferguson, who contributed 14 points, six rebounds and six assists.
In the Raiders’ last outing, they were victorious over the Oakland Golden Grizzlies, 83-71, covering as 10-point favorites. The combined points for the game (154) finished over the projected point total of 146.5. The Raiders had a phenomenal effective field goal percentage of 0.625 (above their season average of 0.518) and had a free throw rate of 0.346 (above their season average of 0.236). Bill Wampler led Wright State in scoring with 20 points on 6-for-10 shooting from the field.
This will be the second game of the season between these two squads. In the first, Ferguson put up 12 points, 10 rebounds and five assists and the Flames, who were 6.5-point underdogs, defeated the Raiders 76-72. The game finished with a total of 148 points, which was just 3.5 points above the projected point total of 144.5 points. UIC had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.517 vs. 0.417). Wright State, on the other hand, had a much better turnover percentage (14.2 vs. 22.1).
UIC holds records of 12-14 straight up (SU) and 14-11 against the spread (ATS). Vegas tends to set the total high when the Flames are playing, as 16 of their 25 contests have ended under the projected point total.
Meanwhile, Wright State owns records of 21-5 SU and 11-11-2 ATS. Contrary to UIC, games involving the Raiders tend to finish over the total (66.7 percent).
Wright State should be expected to protect the ball well in this contest. Wright State ranks 29th in the country at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 16.5 percent), while UIC forces the 67th-fewest turnovers (17.7 percent).
UIC Flames vs. Wright State Raiders Pick
Pick: ATS Winner – Wright State, O/U – Over
UIC is 9-4 ATS on the road with 9 unders and 4 overs.
Wright State is 5-5-2 ATS at home with 9 overs and 3 unders.
Wright State ranks 11th in rebounds per game (40.6) while UIC ranks 185th in rebounds allowed per game (35.9).
The Raiders rank 34th in assists allowed per game (10.6) while the Flames rank 194th (14.1).
UIC ranks 44th in blocks per game (4.3) while Wright State ranks 75th (3.7).
The Raiders average 6.5 steals per game, which ranks 114th in the nation. The Flames rank 143rd in steals allowed per game (6.8).
In its last five contests, UIC is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
Wright State is 2-2-1 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under over its last five games.
The Flames have outscored opponents by an average of 0.8 points in their last five games. For the season, UIC has lost by an average of 2.9 points.
During their last five games, the Raiders have scored an average of 86.0 points per game (4.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 74.6 points per game (3.7 above their season average).