A low-scoring game should be expected when the Texas Longhorns (14-8, 4-5 Big 12) and the Texas Tech Red Raiders (14-8, 5-4 Big 12) clash at Frank Erwin Special Events Center. The game will air on ESPN2 at 4 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 8, 2020.
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Texas Longhorns ATS Prediction
In the Red Raiders’ last game, they beat the Oklahoma Sooners, 69-61. The Red Raiders had a much better free throw rate (0.239 vs. 0.089) and held the Sooners to an offensive rebounding percentage of 15.6 (below their season average of 21.9). Texas Tech rallied around TJ Holyfield, who was the top scorer from either team with 21 points on 8-for-12 shooting.
The Longhorns fell to the No. 3 Kansas Jayhawks in their last game, 69-58. Kansas’ free throw rate was their largest advantage over Texas. The Jayhawks had a rate of 0.327 (above their season average of 0.233), while the Longhorns posted a mark of 0.131. With 17 points and nine rebounds, Texas’ Jericho Sims had a good performance.
It could be a sloppy game for the Texas offense. Texas ranks 262nd in the NCAA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 20.4 percent), while the pesky defense of Texas Tech forces the 25th-most turnovers in the country (23.5 percent).
After the Red Raiders won both meetings against the Longhorns last season, these teams will battle for the first time this year. In the most recent game, Texas Tech won 70-51. Texas Tech launched 18 three pointers, making nine of them (50.0 percent). Texas was, on the other hand, 4-18 (22.2 percent).
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Texas Longhorns Odds Pick
Free Pick: ATS Winner – Texas Tech, O/U – Over
Texas Tech ranks 23rd in assists per game (16.0) while Texas ranks 143rd (13.1).
The Red Raiders rank 180th in rebounds per game (35.0) while the Longhorns rank 270th (32.3).
Texas Tech ranks 56th in steals per game (7.6) while Texas ranks 119th in steals allowed per game (6.5).
The Longhorns are third in the country with 15.0 three pointers allowed per game while the Red Raiders are 60th with 19.6 three pointers allowed per game.
Texas ranks 41st in blocks per game (4.4) while Texas Tech ranks 69th (3.8).
The Red Raiders have scored an equal number of points as their opponents. For the season, Texas Tech has defeated opponents by an average of 9.4 points.
During their last five games, the Longhorns have scored an average of 63.6 points per game (2.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 72.8 points per game (8.9 above their season average).