The Southland Conference had an interesting year, with only three teams finishing above .500 in league play. One of those teams, Southeastern Louisiana, will take on a Texas A&M-CC team that finished 7-7 in conference play with a berth in the NCAA Tournament on the line. In our college basketball predictions for Saturday night, we look at Texas A&M-CC vs Southeastern Louisiana as they battle for the automatic bid from the Southland.
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Texas A&M-CC vs Southeastern Louisiana Betting Pick
This game will be played at 9:30 PM ET at Leonard E. Merrell Center at 9:30 PM ET on Saturday, March 12, 2022.
Why Bet On Texas A&M-CC:
✅ This line feels like it is based on the records for both teams this season rather than their actual ability on the floor. Getting Texas A&M-CC as an underdog here feels like a bargain based on the actual statistics of these two teams. Specifically, the Islanders are vastly better on the defensive end of the floor, which will propel them to a victory in this matchup.
✅ Texas A&M-CC just knocked off the top seed in the Southland Conference, beating Nicholls State in the semifinals of the Southland tournament. They split the season series with Southeastern Louisiana as well, and they are a solid play as an underdog given how well they have played against the top teams in the conference this season.
✅ The defense of Southeastern Louisiana is incredibly suspect, as they rank in the 300s in defensive efficiency per Kenpom. The Lions are not reliable defensively, which will cost them this game against an Islanders team that is just as efficient offensively as they are.
Texas A&M-CC Islanders
Texas A&M-CC is riding high after beating the top seed in the Southland to get to the conference championship game. The Islanders took down Nicholls State in a 71-64 game that sent them to the final. In that game, the Islanders held Nicholls to just 20% from the perimeter and dominated the rebounding battle against the Colonels.
Against Southeastern Louisiana, the Islanders should benefit from a superior defensive squad. They allow eight points per game less than the Lions this season, and that could be what determines which team comes through the Southland final to make the NCAA Tournament.
Southeastern Louisiana Lions
Southeastern Louisiana is the highest remaining seed in the Southland tournament, staying alive while the top seed in Nicholls State fell. The Lions beat the New Orleans Privateers in the semifinal, despite the fact that they shot just 28% from three-point range in that matchup. In the final, Southeastern Louisiana will look to hit more threes with a conference championship being their reward.
One thing that Southeastern Louisiana does very well is spread the wealth with their offense. They have five players who average at least nine points per game, with four double figure scorers on their roster this season. If the Lions can keep the Islanders off-balance with their offense, they could make it to the tournament when the final buzzer sounds.