The TCU Horned Frogs (13-10, 4-6 Big 12) will attempt to snap their five-game losing streak when they challenge the Texas Tech Red Raiders (15-8, 6-4 Big 12) at United Supermarkets Arena. The game starts at 9 p.m. ET on Monday, February 10, 2020, and will air on ESPN2.
Texas Tech is a 9-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 125.5 points at NJ William Hill Sportsbook.
TCU Horned Frogs at Texas Tech Red Raiders Free Prediction
The Horned Frogs were unable to cover as 8-point underdogs in their 60-46 loss to the No. 3 Kansas Jayhawks in their last game. The game’s total points (106) finished well under the O/U total of 131. Kansas’ free throw rate was their largest strength over TCU. The Jayhawks had a rate of 0.138 (below their season average of 0.236), while the Horned Frogs posted a mark of 0.056 (below their season average of 0.163). Desmond Bane was the top scorer from either team with 20 points on 8-for-19 shooting.
In the Red Raiders’ last matchup, they defeated the Texas Longhorns, 62-57, covering as 2.5-point favorites. The total points for the game (119) were under the O/U total of 129. Texas Tech’s free throw rate was their largest advantage over Texas. The Red Raiders had a rate of 0.378 (above their season average of 0.276), while the Longhorns posted a mark of 0.113 (below the 0.241 mark opponents have averaged against Texas Tech this season). Jahmi’us Ramsey was Texas Tech’s high scorer with 18 points on 6-for-7 shooting from the field.
This will be the second game of the season between these two squads. In the first, Bane scored a game-high 27 points and the Horned Frogs, who were 2.5-point underdogs, defeated the Red Raiders 65-54. He also recorded six rebounds. The game finished with a total of 119 points, which was 7.5 points below the projected point total of 126.5 points. The Horned Frogs had a much better free throw rate (0.224 vs. 0.118) and had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (34.4 vs. 20.7).
TCU comes into the contest with records of 13-10 straight up (SU) and 7-15 against the spread (ATS). Horned Frogs games tend to finish under the O/U total (63.6 percent).
Meanwhile, Texas Tech owns records of 15-8 SU and 10-12 ATS. Contrary to TCU, games featuring the Red Raiders have gone over the projected point total 50.0 percent of the time.
From an effective field goal percentage perspective, Texas Tech figures to have a noteworthy edge. The Red Raiders defense ranks 58th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.462), while the TCU offense is ranked 176th in effective field goal percentage (0.500). Ball protection could be troublesome for the Horned Frogs. They rank 308th at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 21.3 percent), while the Red Raiders force the 26th-most turnovers in the NCAA (opponents’ turnover percentage of 23.3 percent).
TCU at Texas Tech Free Pick
Free Prediction: ATS Winner – Texas Tech, O/U – Over
On the road, TCU is 2-6 ATS with 5 unders and 3 overs.
At home, Texas Tech is 5-7 ATS with 7 overs and 5 unders.
Texas Tech ranks 22nd in assists allowed per game (10.1) while TCU ranks 248th (15.3).
The Red Raiders average 4.0 blocks per game, which ranks 61st in the country. The Horned Frogs rank 135th in blocks allowed per game (3.6).
TCU ranks 60th in steals per game (7.5) while Texas Tech ranks 86th in steals allowed per game (6.0).
The Horned Frogs rank 48th in three pointers allowed per game (19.0) while the Red Raiders rank 69th (19.7).
Over its last five contests, TCU is 0-5 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
Texas Tech is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Horned Frogs have been outscored by an average of 11.4 points in their last five games. On the season, TCU has defeated opponents by an average of 3.2 points.
During their last five games, the Red Raiders have scored an average of 73.8 points per game (0.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 70.6 points per game (6.9 above their season average).