The Sun Belt Championship Game is on tap for Monday night, as the South Alabama Jaguars take on the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns. The Ragin’ Cajuns enter this game as a slight favorite as the second seed in this tournament, while the Jaguars look to keep pulling upsets as the seventh seed. In the latest installment of our college basketball picks, we break down this South Alabama vs Louisiana matchup.
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South Alabama vs Louisiana Betting Pick
ℹ️ The Pick: | South Alabama +1.5 |
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This game will be played at Pensacola Bay Center at 7:00 PM ET on Monday, March 6, 2023.
Why Bet on South Alabama:
✅ Louisiana is the higher seed in this game, but they did not look convincing at all in the semifinal round. They barely escaped against 11-seed Texas State, and their lack of convincing play will catch up with them in the final.
✅ South Alabama, meanwhile, has been excellent in the Sun Belt Tournament so far. They beat Southern Miss, the top seed in the tournament, by double figures. They will continue to play at a high level despite being the lower seed.
✅ Kenpom has South Alabama ranked ahead of Louisiana, and bettors should not go by the records and seedings blindly in this contest.
NCAABB
South Alabama Jaguars
Louisiana Ragin Cajuns
Team Stats Per Game
Advanced Game Stats
Offense/Defense
SALA | Advanced Game Stats | LOULAF |
---|---|---|
70.2 | Pace | 70.4 |
103.8 | Off.Rate | 101.8 |
.324 | FTr | .399 |
.367 | 3PAr | .318 |
.544 | TS% | .536 |
46.1 | TRB% | 50.8 |
40.8 | AST% | 43.9 |
9.5 | STL% | 9.9 |
7.0 | BLK% | 9.9 |
.506 | eFG% | .493 |
14.3 | TOV% | 18.1 |
22.6 | ORB% | 32.3 |
.243 | TF/FGA | .288 |
Defense/Offense
SALA | Advanced Game Stats | LOULAF |
---|---|---|
70.2 | Pace | 70.4 |
106.1 | Off.Rate | 107.8 |
.336 | FTr | .281 |
.356 | 3PAr | .367 |
.536 | TS% | .545 |
53.9 | TRB% | 49.2 |
44.1 | AST% | 44.5 |
9.8 | STL% | 12.2 |
11.1 | BLK% | 9.8 |
.505 | eFG% | .516 |
14.7 | TOV% | 14.5 |
31.5 | ORB% | 31.5 |
.233 | TF/FGA | .205 |
Betting Trends
SALA | Betting Trends | LOULAF |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
3-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
3-0-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
73.67 | Avg Score | 68.33 |
62.67 | Avg Opp Score | 57 |
AWAY | HOME | |
2-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
2-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-1-0 |
72.33 | Avg Score | 68.33 |
67 | Avg Opp Score | 57 |
SALA | Betting Trends | LOULAF |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
4-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
4-1-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-3-0 |
72.2 | Avg Score | 71.6 |
65.8 | Avg Opp Score | 63.8 |
AWAY | HOME | |
3-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-0-0 |
3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 3-2-0 |
70 | Avg Score | 74.8 |
65.8 | Avg Opp Score | 62.4 |
SALA | Betting Trends | LOULAF |
---|---|---|
OVERALL | OVERALL | |
8-2-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 7-3-0 |
8-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 5-5-0 |
73.5 | Avg Score | 73.7 |
59.9 | Avg Opp Score | 67.8 |
AWAY | HOME | |
5-5-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 10-0-0 |
6-4-0 | ATS W/L/P | 6-4-0 |
71.5 | Avg Score | 77.7 |
68.4 | Avg Opp Score | 65.6 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
South Alabama Jaguars
The South Alabama Jaguars have won three straight games in the Sun Belt Tournament to make it to the championship game. They have defeated App State, Southern Miss, and James Madison over the last four days. If the Jaguars can win one more game as an underdog on Monday night, the Jaguars could get their 20th win and reach the NCAA Tournament.
It has been the defense of South Alabama that could make the difference in this contest. They have allowed 62.7 points per game over their three games in this tournament, and one more solid defensive showing could send them to the Big Dance.
Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns
The Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns enter the Sun Belt Championship Game as the favorite, but just barely, after nearly crashing out against Texas State on Sunday. Their offense has averaged just 65.5 points per game over their two conference tournament games. To make it to the NCAA Tournament, the Ragin’ Cajuns will need to be better on the offensive end of the floor.
Louisiana’s center Jordan Brown will be especially important if the Cajuns are going to win this contest. Brown has averaged 17.0 points per game in this tournament. But with the offensive struggles going on around him this week, the 6’11 junior may need to do even more offensively to get his team to the tourney.
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