San Diego State and Boise State will meet in the Mountain West championship game on Saturday. They played twice during the regular season, with Boise State winning both matchups, but San Diego State enters as a slight favorite in this contest. In our college basketball betting picks, we look at San Diego State vs Boise State in the final game of the Mountain West season.
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San Diego State vs Boise State Betting Pick
This game will be played at the Thomas & Mack Center at 6:00 PM ET on Saturday, March 12, 2022.
Why Bet On The Under:
✅ These teams have played two low-scoring games already this season. Neither team has broken the 60-point mark against the other this season, including one game where neither team reached the 50 point mark. While this is a low total, it is justified, as these teams will contribute to put points on the board against one another.
✅ Both of these teams are ranked in the top-20 in the nation in defensive efficiency according to Kenpom. While these teams do not receive the same attention as name-brand squads in power conferences, they are capable of playing lockdown defense and will be able to keep their opponent at bay here with the Mountain West title on the line.
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✅ Nerves will further impact the offenses in this Mountain West championship game. Both of these teams have struggled to score against one another as it is this season. Add in the nerves of playing for a guaranteed bid in the NCAA Tournament, without having to sweat things out on the bubble, and you have a recipe for a slow-paced, low-scoring affair.
San Diego State Aztecs
The San Diego State Aztecs landed a marquee victory in the Mountain West semifinals, knocking off Colorado State to reach the championship game. The Aztecs brought one of their best defensive efforts of the year, holding Colorado State under 60 points for the game. In this contest, they will look to do the same against a Boise State team they have already have success defending this season.
For the Aztecs, the question for this game will be whether or not they can do enough scoring to win this conference championship tilt. They have had a terrible time scoring on the Broncos this season, averaging just 47 points per game in two meetings with Boise State. They will need to find a way to get into the 50s to have a real shot at this game.
Boise State Broncos
Boise State is in the Mountain West championship game as the top seed in the tournament. They beat Nevada and Wyoming to get to the conference championship game, surviving a two-point scare against Nevada before beating a solid Wyoming team by seven points. Here, the Broncos will expect a more defensive matchup, as they have played two low-scoring games against San Diego State.
For Boise State, the key to this game will be figuring out a way to put up some points. While the Broncos have beaten the Aztecs twice this season, they have been far from convincing on the offensive end in those victories. If the Broncos can get close to the 60-point mark on Saturday, they will have a huge opportunity to get into the field of 68.