The No. 4 San Diego State Aztecs (21-0, 10-0 MWC) try to remain unbeaten when they go head-to-head against the New Mexico Lobos (16-6, 5-4 MWC) at Dreamstyle Arena. The game will air on CBS Sports Network at 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 29, 2020.
San Diego State Aztecs vs. New Mexico Lobos ATS Prediction
The Aztecs will be hoping for a similar result after topping the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels in their last outing, 71-67. Converting at the free throw line was one of San Diego State’s largest advantages. They were 18-21 (85.7 percent), while the Runnin’ Rebels were just 11-17 (64.7 percent). San Diego State was lifted by Malachi Flynn, who led the team in scoring with 21 points on 6-for-14 shooting.
In the Lobos’ previous matchup, they were blown out by the Nevada Wolf Pack, 96-74. Nevada out-rebounded New Mexico. The Wolf Pack had more offensive rebounds (15 vs. four), defensive rebounds (35 vs. 22) and total rebounds (50 vs. 26). Zane Martin had a good performance for New Mexico, leading both teams in scoring with 23 points on 8-for-19 shooting.
After splitting two games last season, these teams will battle for the first time this year. The Lobos won the last contest 83-70. New Mexico made good use of their 25 trips to the charity stripe, making 20 of them (80.0 percent). San Diego State, on the other hand, was 14-16 (87.5 percent).
This game should be a showdown of contrasting styles. New Mexico has preferred to play fast (31st in possessions per game), while San Diego State has been more methodical (321st in possessions per game). Also, the 15th-ranked offense of the Aztecs (offensive efficiency of 112.6) will battle against the 273rd-ranked defense of the Lobos (defensive efficiency of 103.0).
San Diego State Aztecs vs. New Mexico Lobos ATS Pick
Prediction: ATS Winner – San Diego State, O/U – Over
San Diego State ranks 27th in assists allowed per game (10.2) while New Mexico ranks 241st (16.6).
The Aztecs rank 26th in steals allowed per game (5.1) while the Lobos rank 161st (7.2).
San Diego State ranks 139th in three pointers allowed per game (21.7) while New Mexico ranks 271st (27.1).
The Aztecs rank 30th in rebounds allowed per game (31.6) while the Lobos rank 136th (35.1).
San Diego State is eighth in the country with 2.1 blocks allowed per game while New Mexico is 27th with 2.5 blocks allowed per game.
The Aztecs’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 12.2, down from 17.3 for the season.
During their last five games, the Lobos have scored an average of 78.8 points per game (1.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 87.4 points per game (11.9 above their season average).