A Mountain West Conference blockbuster is set for Tuesday night when the San Diego State Aztecs (23-5, 14-2 in MWC) visit the Boise State Broncos (22-7, 12-4). San Diego State is the fifth seed in the East region and Boise State is the 11th in the West, according to Jerry Palm’s latest Bracketology. Below is my college basketball betting pick for San Diego State vs Boise State.
San Diego State vs Boise State Betting Pick
| ℹ️ The Pick: | San Diego State pick ‘em |
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This game will be played at ExtraMile Arena at 9:00 p.m. ET on Tuesday, February 28, 2023.
Why Bet the Aztecs:
✅ San Diego State is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games played.
✅ The Aztecs are 6-0 in their last six games overall.
✅ Boise State is 0-6-1 in their last seven games.
NCAABB
San Diego State Aztecs
Boise State Broncos
Team Stats Per Game
Advanced Game Stats
Offense/Defense
| SDST | Advanced Game Stats | BOISE |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3 | Pace | 68.3 |
| 110.3 | Off.Rate | 95.4 |
| .252 | FTr | .246 |
| .376 | 3PAr | .376 |
| .546 | TS% | .500 |
| 50.5 | TRB% | 43.0 |
| 49.1 | AST% | 39.3 |
| 10.7 | STL% | 7.7 |
| 20.9 | BLK% | 8.9 |
| .524 | eFG% | .475 |
| 12.9 | TOV% | 15.0 |
| 31.5 | ORB% | 22.6 |
| .174 | TF/FGA | .168 |
Defense/Offense
| SDST | Advanced Game Stats | BOISE |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3 | Pace | 68.3 |
| 92.7 | Off.Rate | 115.1 |
| .322 | FTr | .424 |
| .439 | 3PAr | .349 |
| .459 | TS% | .576 |
| 49.5 | TRB% | 57.0 |
| 51.4 | AST% | 57.2 |
| 7.5 | STL% | 8.5 |
| 7.8 | BLK% | 7.9 |
| .412 | eFG% | .528 |
| 16.0 | TOV% | 13.8 |
| 33.3 | ORB% | 34.6 |
| .235 | TF/FGA | .330 |
Betting Trends
| SDST | Betting Trends | BOISE |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 3-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 2-1-0 |
| 1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 0-2-1 |
| 65 | Avg Score | 74.33 |
| 57.33 | Avg Opp Score | 73.33 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 3-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 3-0-0 |
| 1-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 0-2-1 |
| 60.33 | Avg Score | 76.67 |
| 58.33 | Avg Opp Score | 69.67 |
| SDST | Betting Trends | BOISE |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 5-0-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 4-1-0 |
| 3-2-0 | ATS W/L/P | 0-4-1 |
| 68 | Avg Score | 75.6 |
| 60.8 | Avg Opp Score | 72.2 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 4-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 5-0-0 |
| 2-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 1-3-1 |
| 63.4 | Avg Score | 74.6 |
| 62 | Avg Opp Score | 64.2 |
| SDST | Betting Trends | BOISE |
|---|---|---|
| OVERALL | OVERALL | |
| 9-1-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 7-3-0 |
| 7-3-0 | ATS W/L/P | 2-7-1 |
| 70.5 | Avg Score | 71.1 |
| 61.7 | Avg Opp Score | 67.8 |
| AWAY | HOME | |
| 7-3-0 | Win/Loss/Tie | 10-0-0 |
| 4-6-0 | ATS W/L/P | 5-4-1 |
| 68.6 | Avg Score | 76.7 |
| 68.3 | Avg Opp Score | 61.3 |
Head to Head
Teams Last 10
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San Diego State Aztecs
Last time out, San Diego State visited the New Mexico Lobos and used a big second half to win 73-71. This game was tied with under four minutes left in the first half, but the Lobos went on a big run and built a double-digit halftime lead. The Aztecs chipped away all second half, took the lead late, and earned an impressive road win. San Diego State trailed by as many as 13 points, led by six, and did not cover the -2.5-point spread.
Darrion Trammell had 18 points, two rebounds, three assists, and two steals on the night. Matt Bradley added 11 points, five rebounds, and seven assists in the victory.
Through 28 games, San Diego State is scoring 73.6 points per game, shooting 45.4% from the field, and assisting on 13.9 made shots. The Aztecs are allowing 64.9 points, grabbing 35.5 rebounds, blocking 3.3 shots, and stealing the ball 7.4 times.
Boise State Broncos
Boise State took a trip to San Hose State and were beaten 74-68 in overtime. The Broncos led from the opening tip until the Spartans tied the game up with just six seconds left to force overtime. Boise State did not score for the final four minutes of regulation and could not get the momentum back in overtime. The Broncos led by as many as 12 points, never trailed by more than six, and lost outright as four-point favorites.
Chibuzo Agbo had 17 points, two rebounds, and one assist in the game. Naje Smith added eight points, 11 rebounds, two assists, three steals, and three blocks in the defeat.
After 29 games, Boise State is scoring 72.3 points per game, shooting 45.5% from the field, and assisting on 11.3 made shots. The Broncos are allowing 63.1 points, grabbing 36.0 rebounds, blocking 3.1 shots, and stealing the ball 5.1 times.
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