The Elite Eight contest between the No. 3 Purdue Boilermakers (26-9) and the No. 1 Virginia Cavaliers (32-3) will take place at KFC Yum! Center. Virginia is a 4-point favorite on the opening line, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 126 points. Tip-off is set for 8:49 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 30, 2019.
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Virginia Cavaliers Odds Preview
In the Sweet 16, the Boilermakers defeated the No. 2 Tennessee Volunteers, 99-94. Carsen Edwards was the game’s high scorer with 29 points on 8-for-22 shooting. Purdue dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a superb free throw rate of 0.254 (above their season average of 0.216) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 28.9 (below their season average of 34.9). For those same stats, Tennessee had marks of 0.206 and 25.6, respectively.
The Cavaliers hope to keep it rolling after beating the No. 12 Oregon Ducks in the Sweet 16, 53-49. Virginia received a boost from Ty Jerome, who was the team’s leading scorer with 13 points on 5-for-12 shooting. The Cavaliers had a much better turnover percentage (12.1 vs. 18.5) and held the Ducks to an offensive rebounding percentage of 20.7 (below their season average of 29.8).
It might turn into a shootout as two of the country’s premier offenses square off. Virginia currently ranks sixth with 117.1 points per 100 possessions and Purdue is 10th (115.9).
Of Purdue’s 35 games, 19 have finished over the O/U total, while 19 of Virginia’s 35 games have finished under the O/U total. Looking at straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records, the Cavaliers have a substantial advantage. They are 32-3 SU and 24-11 ATS, while the Boilermakers are 26-9 SU and 20-15 ATS.
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Virginia Cavaliers ATS Prediction
Prediction: SU Winner – Purdue, ATS Winner – Purdue, O/U – Over
Virginia ranks first in assists allowed per game (8.8) while Purdue ranks 101st (12.3).
The Cavaliers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 8.2, down from 16.2 for the season.
During their last five games, the Boilermakers have scored an average of 78.0 points per game (1.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 67.0 points per game (0.1 above their season average).