The Sweet Sixteen contest between the No. 2 Tennessee Volunteers (31-5) and the No. 3 Purdue Boilermakers (25-9) will take place at KFC Yum! Center. Tennessee opened as a 1.5-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 146.5 points. Action starts at 7:29 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 28, 2019.
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Tennessee Volunteers Free Preview
In the Second Round, the Boilermakers easily got past the No. 6 Villanova Wildcats, 87-61, easily covering as 3-point favorites. Carsen Edwards was the game’s high scorer with 42 points on 12-for-21 shooting. Purdue dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had an absurd offensive rebounding percentage of 44.4 (above their season average of 34.7) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.685 (above their season average of 0.526). Villanova had marks of 23.1 and 0.440, respectively, for those same stats. The two teams combined to put up 148 points, which finished over the O/U total of 138.
Although the Volunteers beat the No. 10 Iowa Hawkeyes in the Second Round, 83-77, they failed to cover as 8-point favorites. Tennessee’s Grant Williams played a pivotal role with 19 points, seven rebounds and five assists. The Volunteers had a phenomenal offensive rebounding percentage of 38.2 (above their season average of 31.6) and held the Hawkeyes to an effective field goal percentage of 0.449 (below their season average of 0.529). The two clubs combined to record 160 points, which came in over the O/U total of 156.
This matchup figures to be a high-scoring affair as a pair of the nation’s best offenses square off. Tennessee currently ranks sixth with 117.3 points per 100 possessions and Purdue is 10th (115.3). Also, the Boilermakers could control the offensive glass in this battle as they rank 21st in the nation in offensive rebounding percentage at 34.9 percent. The Volunteers, meanwhile, rank 269th in defensive rebounding percentage (69.6 percent).
Of Purdue’s 34 games, 18 have finished over the projected point total, while 21 of Tennessee’s 35 games have finished over the projected point total. The Volunteers have the better straight up (SU) record (31-5 vs. 25-9), but the Boilermakers hold the substantial advantage against the spread (ATS) (19-15 vs. 17-17-1).
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Tennessee Volunteers Odds Prediction
Prediction: SU Winner – Tennessee, ATS Winner – Purdue, O/U – Over
Purdue ranks 19th in steals allowed per game (4.9) while Tennessee ranks 139th (6.3).
Tennessee is 8-8-1 ATS at home, while Purdue is 9-10 ATS on the road.
Tennessee is 2-3 ATS with 5 overs in its last five games.
Over its last five games, Purdue is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
The Volunteers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 0.8, down from 12.8 for the season.
During their last five games, the Boilermakers have scored an average of 72.0 points per game (4.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 62.8 points per game (3.3 below their season average).