Pitt vs Miami CBB ATS Prediction & Sportsbook Promos 3/4/23

Jay Sanin on March 4th, 2023

Pitt and Miami are tied for the best record in the ACC going into the final day of regular season play. Both teams still have a shot at earning the top seed in the upcoming ACC Tournament, but will need to win this game in order to get there. In our college basketball picks for Saturday, we look at this massive Pitt vs Miami matchup from South Florida.

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Pitt vs Miami Betting Pick

ℹ️ The Pick:	Pitt +7.5
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This game will be played at Watsco Center at 6:00 PM ET on Saturday, March 4, 2023.

Why Bet on Pitt:

✅ Pitt has been decent on the road this season, going 7-4 away from home. They may not win this game outright, but they will keep it competitive.

✅ The pressure in this game is squarely on the shoulders of Miami. They are home favorites in a game that carries a ton of significance. That pressure will help Pitt stay in things a little longer.

NCAABB

Mar 04, 2023 06:00 PM

Pittsburgh Panthers

Miami Hurricanes

Spread Pick Consensus

N/A PITT

MIA N/A

Moneyline Pick Consensus

+264

-333

N/A PITT

MIA N/A

Total Pick Consensus

154.5/

154.5/

N/A UN

OV N/A

Team Stats Per Game

Offense/Defense

PITT	Team Stats Per Game	MIA
87	PTS GM	66.33
60.5	FGA	54.67
.504	FG%	.433
.354	3PT%	.317
9.5	ORB	6.33
7.88	DRB	6.45
41	TRB	25.67
23.75	FTA	20
.726	FT%	.617
14.5	AST	13.67
6	BLK	2.33
9.25	TO	11.67
15.5	PF	16

Defense/Offense

PITT	Team Stats Per Game	MIA
62.5	PTS GM	98
59.5	FGA	63.67
.382	FG%	.576
.279	3PT%	.427
9.25	ORB	9.33
6.19	DRB	9.89
34	TRB	39
17.25	FTA	17.33
.638	FT%	.808
8.75	AST	18
3.75	BLK	3
13	TO	8
21.5	PF	16.33

Advanced Game Stats

Offense/Defense

PITT	Advanced Game Stats	MIA
71.5	Pace	70.0
121.7	Off.Rate	94.7
.393	FTr	.366
.409	3PAr	.384
.606	TS%	.517
54.7	TRB%	39.7
47.5	AST%	57.7
11.2	STL%	5.2
15.8	BLK%	6.0
.576	eFG%	.494
11.4	TOV%	15.4
27.7	ORB%	17.6
.285	TF/FGA	.226

Defense/Offense

PITT	Advanced Game Stats	MIA
71.5	Pace	70.0
87.4	Off.Rate	139.9
.290	FTr	.272
.361	3PAr	.393
.462	TS%	.682
45.3	TRB%	60.3
38.5	AST%	49.1
7.7	STL%	13.3
10.5	BLK%	8.9
.433	eFG%	.660
16.1	TOV%	10.0
22.7	ORB%	32.6
.185	TF/FGA	.220

Betting Trends

PITT	Betting Trends	MIA
OVERALL		OVERALL
2-1-0	Win/Loss/Tie	2-1-0
1-2-0	ATS W/L/P	2-1-0
85.33	Avg Score	85.33
79.33	Avg Opp Score	80.67
AWAY		HOME
1-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	2-1-0
1-2-0	ATS W/L/P	1-2-0
78.67	Avg Score	91
80.67	Avg Opp Score	85.67

PITT	Betting Trends	MIA
OVERALL		OVERALL
3-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	4-1-0
2-3-0	ATS W/L/P	3-2-0
81	Avg Score	85.8
75	Avg Opp Score	79.8
AWAY		HOME
3-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	4-1-0
3-2-0	ATS W/L/P	3-2-0
75.2	Avg Score	89.2
72	Avg Opp Score	79.8

PITT	Betting Trends	MIA
OVERALL		OVERALL
8-2-0	Win/Loss/Tie	8-2-0
6-4-0	ATS W/L/P	7-3-0
79.6	Avg Score	83.4
71.8	Avg Opp Score	74.9
AWAY		HOME
6-4-0	Win/Loss/Tie	9-1-0
8-2-0	ATS W/L/P	6-4-0
74.2	Avg Score	85.3
71.4	Avg Opp Score	76.2

Head to Head

DATE	TM	LN	ML	SC
01/28/2023	MIA PITT	147.5 -0.5	-112 -109	68 71
02/22/2022	MIA PITT	136.5 4.0	-191 +156	85 64
03/09/2021	MIA PITT	135.0 -3.5	+142 -171	79 73
12/16/2020	PITT MIA	133.0 4.5	-205 +167	70 55
02/02/2020	MIA PITT	135.5 -6.5	+260 -333	57 62
01/12/2020	PITT MIA	136.5 -2.5	+115 -137	58 66
03/05/2019	PITT MIA	136.0 -6.0	+235 -275	63 76
01/31/2018	PITT MIA	130.0 -17.0	+1150 -1800	57 69
12/30/2017	MIA PITT	133.0 12.5	-910 +655	67 53
01/14/2017	MIA PITT	142.0 -2.5	+130 -150	72 46

Teams Last 10

DATE	TM	LN	ML	SC
03/15/24	PITT NCAR	156.8 -8.5	+280 -363	69 77
03/14/24	WAKE PITT	50.9 0.2	-48 +39	24 28
03/09/24	NCST PITT	58.7 -2.6	+90 -113	29 32
03/05/24	FLST PITT	222.2 -11.2	+401 -518	109 132
03/02/24	PITT BOSCOL	133.0 1.3	-116 +96	82 59
02/27/24	PITT CLMSN	97.7 -4.8	+167 -214	42 47
02/24/24	VTECH PITT	219.4 -4.6	+201 -244	98 121
02/20/24	PITT WAKE	203.7 -8.4	+290 -364	81 127
02/17/24	LOU PITT	165.9 -13.7	+632 -977	65 94
02/13/24	PITT VIR	117.1 -6.7	+238 -306	71 60

DATE	TM	LN	ML	SC
03/12/24	MIA BOSCOL	244.9 8.2	-259 +214	107 134
03/09/24	MIA FLST	61.2 -1.8	+65 -79	30 33
03/06/24	BOSCOL MIA	119.2 -4.3	+160 -199	52 44
02/26/24	MIA NCAR	226.7 -21.3	+1160 -2082	104 110
02/24/24	GTECH MIA	226.3 -13.0	+465 -598	123 117
02/21/24	DUKE MIA	91.5 2.7	-190 +150	52 34
02/17/24	MIA BOSCOL	164.8 -1.1	-115 -129	84 93
02/14/24	MIA CLMSN	67.6 -3.1	+109 -140	27 34
02/10/24	NCAR MIA	49.9 0.3	-57 +47	23 22
02/05/24	MIA VIR	137.7 -5.8	+203 -254	40 63

JOIN

Pittsburgh Panthers

The Pittsburgh Panthers enter this game tied with Miami and Virginia for first place in the ACC standings at 14-5 in league play. They are 21-9 overall, and can lock up the top spot in the league with a win and a loss by Virginia. Of course, Pitt will regret losing in their last game to Notre Dame, in a game that would have put them a game up on the Cavaliers and Hurricanes had they won it.

Here, Pitt has to be better on the defensive end if they are going to keep themselves alive in the race for the ACC regular season crown. They have allowed 83.5 points per game in their last two road games against Notre Dame and Virginia Tech. Another poor defensive showing could cost them in a big way come conference tournament time.

Miami Hurricanes

Miami comes into the final day of the ACC regular season with the tiebreaker advantage over Virginia and Pitt at the top of the ACC. They have the same 14-5 conference record as those two teams, but their 23-6 overall record is superior to that of the other two teams. Here, the Hurricanes will aim to lock up the ACC regular season title and, more importantly, the top seed in the ACC Tournament.

For Miami, the key to this game is going to be rebounding the basketball. Pitt averages about 2.5 rebounds per game more than Miami this season. If the Canes cannot compete on the glass at a high level for 40 minutes, they could be in for a disappointing evening.